Atletico Mineiro at Penarol

Updated 174 days ago

10:00 PM • May 14, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

49.3%26.8%23.9%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawPenarol Win

1.43Projected Goals 0.91

0Final Score 2

Penarol

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 1-0	5/07 at Rosario Cent	+110
W 2-3	4/24 vs Penarol	-315
W 1-2	4/10 vs Rosario Cent	-250
W 4-1	4/04 at Caracas	-235
T 0-0	8/10 at Palmeiras	+370

Penarol		Money Line
W 1-0	5/07 at Caracas	-185
L 2-3	4/24 at Atletico Mineiro	+675
W 0-5	4/11 vs Caracas	-380
L 0-1	4/04 at Rosario Cent	+275
W 1-2	5/26 vs Colon

Money Line Analysis

:3.4%:11.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+145	+146	+145	+142	+137	+142	+146	+153.9
Penarol	+200	+231	+225	+228	+236	+228	+236	+244.1
Draw	+234	+202	+180	+202	+194	+202	+202	+216.9

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+120	-	-	-	+120	-	+120	+153.9
Penarol	+190	-	-	-	+190	-	+190	+244.1
Draw	+205	-	-	-	+205	-	+205	+216.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

:1.9%:5.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-141	o2-118	o2-112	o2-112	o2-108	o2-112	o2-108	o2-102
Under	u2+119	u2+100	u2-118	u2-108	u2-112	u2-108	u2+100	u2+102

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+115	-	-	-	o2½+115	-	o2½+115	o2-102
Under	u2½-145	-	-	-	u2½-145	-	u2½-145	u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 50.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.5%


No	54.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.60%
Exactly 2	26.36%
Exactly 4	12.07%
Exactly 6	2.21%
Exactly 8	0.22%


Exactly 1	22.49%
Exactly 3	20.59%
Exactly 5	5.66%
Exactly 7	0.74%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	23.82%
Exactly 1	34.18%
Exactly 2	24.51%
Exactly 3	11.72%
Exactly 4	4.20%
Exactly 5	1.21%
Exactly 6	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 0	40.28%
Exactly 1	36.63%
Exactly 2	16.65%
Exactly 3	5.05%
Exactly 4	1.15%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	33.79%
Exactly 2	19.89%
Exactly 4	1.95%


Exactly 1	36.66%
Exactly 3	7.19%
Exactly 5	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	51.47%
Exactly 1	34.18%
Exactly 2	11.35%
Exactly 3	2.51%
Exactly 4	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 0	65.64%
Exactly 1	27.63%
Exactly 2	5.82%
Exactly 3	0.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	24.30%
Wins by 3+ goals	9.37%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.89%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.71%

Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals	8.04%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.04%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Penarol

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	24.92%
Wins by 2 goals	14.93%
Wins by 3 goals	6.48%
Wins by 4 goals	2.18%
Wins by 5 goals	0.59%

Penarol
Wins by 1 goal	15.80%
Wins by 2 goals	6.00%
Wins by 3 goals	1.65%
Wins by 4 goals	0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.40%	9.60%
1.5	67.91%	32.09%
2.5	41.55%	58.45%
3.5	20.96%	79.04%
4.5	8.89%	91.11%
5.5	3.24%	96.76%
6.5	1.03%	98.97%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	76.18%	23.82%
1.5	42.00%	58.00%
2.5	17.49%	82.51%
3.5	5.77%	94.23%
4.5	1.57%	98.43%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.72%	40.28%
1.5	23.09%	76.91%
2.5	6.44%	93.56%
3.5	1.39%	98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.21%	33.79%
1.5	29.55%	70.45%
2.5	9.66%	90.34%
3.5	2.47%	97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Penarol

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.60%	8.73%	3.97%	1.20%	0.27%
1	13.77%	12.52%	5.69%	1.72%	0.39%
2	9.87%	8.98%	4.08%	1.24%	0.28%
3	4.72%	4.29%	1.95%	0.59%	0.13%
4	1.69%	1.54%	0.70%	0.21%	0.05%
5	0.49%	0.44%	0.20%	0.06%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.77%
2-0	9.87%
2-1	8.98%
3-0	4.72%
3-1	4.29%
3-2	1.95%
4-0	1.69%
4-1	1.54%
4-2	0.70%
4-3	0.21%
5-0	0.49%
5-1	0.44%
5-2	0.20%

Draw
0-0	9.60%
1-1	12.52%
2-2	4.08%
3-3	0.59%

Penarol
0-1	8.73%
0-2	3.97%
1-2	5.69%
0-3	1.20%
1-3	1.72%
2-3	1.24%
0-4	0.27%
1-4	0.39%
2-4	0.28%
3-4	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Penarol

Score	0	1	2	3
0	33.79%	14.22%	2.99%	0.42%
1	22.44%	9.45%	1.99%	0.28%
2	7.45%	3.14%	0.66%	0.09%
3	1.65%	0.69%	0.15%	0.02%
4	0.27%	0.12%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	22.44%
2-0	7.45%
2-1	3.14%
3-0	1.65%
3-1	0.69%
3-2	0.15%
4-0	0.27%
4-1	0.12%

Draw
0-0	33.79%
1-1	9.45%
2-2	0.66%

Penarol
0-1	14.22%
0-2	2.99%
1-2	1.99%
0-3	0.42%
1-3	0.28%

Junior at LDU de Quito

Cobresal at CC Cordoba

Atletico Mineiro at Penarol