Penarol at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Penarol

6.9%14.7%78.3%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.43
2Final Score 3

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Penarol
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Caracas-380
L 0-1 at Rosario Cent+275
W 1-2 vs Colon
T 0-0 vs Cerro Porteno
L 0-1 at Olimpia
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Rosario Cent-250
W 4-1 at Caracas-235
T 0-0 at Palmeiras+370
L 1-0 vs Palmeiras+140
T 1-1 at Libertad+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penarol+611+592+550+735+580+735+735+776.2
Atletico Mineiro-197-189-205-230-200-230-189-197.8
Draw+323+315+320+330+306+330+330+351.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penarol+650---+675-+675+776.2
Atletico Mineiro-290----315--315-197.8
Draw+300---+315-+315+351.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Penarol: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Penarol: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Penarol: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Penarol: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+104o2½-111o2½-115o2½-103o2½+102o2½-103o2½+102o2½+106
Underu2½-122u2½-105u2½-115u2½-117u2½-124u2½-117u2½-105u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105---o2½-105-o2½-105o2½+106
Underu2½-125---u2½-125-u2½-125u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.0%
 
No60.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.94%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 416.84%
Exactly 65.08%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.86%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.13%
Exactly 72.18%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 056.12%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 08.81%
Exactly 121.40%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 321.05%
Exactly 412.79%
Exactly 56.21%
Exactly 62.52%
Exactly 70.87%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.85%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 43.89%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 311.18%
Exactly 51.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 076.53%
Exactly 120.47%
Exactly 22.74%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 032.47%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.54%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals1.51%
Wins by 3+ goals0.24%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals55.60%
Wins by 3+ goals32.87%
Wins by 4+ goals16.28%
Wins by 5+ goals6.84%
Wins by 6+ goals2.45%
Wins by 7+ goals0.73%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Penarol
Atletico Mineiro
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal5.38%
Wins by 2 goals1.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal22.65%
Wins by 2 goals22.73%
Wins by 3 goals16.59%
Wins by 4 goals9.44%
Wins by 5 goals4.39%
Wins by 6 goals1.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.06%4.94%
1.580.19%19.81%
2.557.85%42.15%
3.535.44%64.56%
4.518.60%81.40%
5.58.47%91.53%
6.53.39%96.61%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.88%56.12%
1.511.46%88.54%
2.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.19%8.81%
1.569.80%30.20%
2.543.81%56.19%
3.522.75%77.25%
4.59.96%90.04%
5.53.75%96.25%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.15%24.85%
1.540.55%59.45%
2.516.47%83.53%
3.55.29%94.71%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Penarol
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
4.94%
12.01%
14.59%
11.82%
7.18%
3.49%
1
2.85%
6.94%
8.43%
6.82%
4.15%
2.01%
2
0.82%
2.00%
2.43%
1.97%
1.20%
0.58%
3
0.16%
0.39%
0.47%
0.38%
0.23%
0.11%
Penarol
1-02.85%
2-00.82%
2-12.00%
3-00.16%
3-10.39%
3-20.47%
Draw
0-04.94%
1-16.94%
2-22.43%
3-30.38%
Atletico Mineiro
0-112.01%
0-214.59%
1-28.43%
0-311.82%
1-36.82%
2-31.97%
0-47.18%
1-44.15%
2-41.20%
3-40.23%
0-53.49%
1-52.01%
2-50.58%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Penarol
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
24.85%
27.95%
15.72%
5.90%
1.66%
0.37%
1
6.64%
7.48%
4.20%
1.58%
0.44%
0.10%
2
0.89%
1.00%
0.56%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Penarol
1-06.64%
2-00.89%
2-11.00%
Draw
0-024.85%
1-17.48%
2-20.56%
Atletico Mineiro
0-127.95%
0-215.72%
1-24.20%
0-35.90%
1-31.58%
2-30.21%
0-41.66%
1-40.44%
0-50.37%