Cerro Porteno at Penarol

Updated

Cerro Porteno

33.8%28.8%37.5%
Cerro Porteno WinDrawPenarol Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 0

Penarol

Last Games

Cerro Porteno
Money Line
L 1-2 at Colon
W 0-1 vs Penarol
W 1-3 vs Colon
T 0-0 at Olimpia
L 0-1 at Fluminense+430
Penarol
Money Line
L 0-1 at Olimpia
L 0-1 at Cerro Porteno
W 1-2 vs Olimpia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno+205+245+255+277+258+255+277+281.1
Penarol+145+130+133+129+120+133+133+139.8
Draw+215+190+195+202+208+195+208+212.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno-----+281.1
Penarol-----+139.8
Draw-----+212.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-103o2-115o2-110o2-108-o2-110o2-108o2+100
Underu2¼-117u2-105u2-110u2-107-u2-110u2-105u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.59%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.22%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.77%
Exactly 319.98%
Exactly 55.04%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 031.36%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.36%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 060.48%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.65%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 058.46%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals13.27%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals15.63%
Wins by 3+ goals5.01%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Cerro Porteno
Penarol
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal20.43%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal21.81%
Wins by 2 goals10.62%
Wins by 3 goals3.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.41%10.59%
1.565.64%34.36%
2.538.95%61.05%
3.518.97%81.03%
4.57.75%92.25%
5.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.64%31.36%
1.532.27%67.73%
2.511.19%88.81%
3.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.64%35.36%
1.527.88%72.12%
2.58.77%91.23%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cerro Porteno
Penarol
Score012345
0
10.59%
12.28%
7.12%
2.75%
0.80%
0.18%
1
11.50%
13.33%
7.73%
2.99%
0.87%
0.20%
2
6.24%
7.24%
4.20%
1.62%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.26%
2.62%
1.52%
0.59%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.61%
0.71%
0.41%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cerro Porteno
1-011.50%
2-06.24%
2-17.24%
3-02.26%
3-12.62%
3-21.52%
4-00.61%
4-10.71%
4-20.41%
4-30.16%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.59%
1-113.33%
2-24.20%
3-30.59%
Penarol
0-112.28%
0-27.12%
1-27.73%
0-32.75%
1-32.99%
2-31.62%
0-40.80%
1-40.87%
2-40.47%
3-40.17%
0-50.18%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Cerro Porteno
Penarol
Score01234
0
35.36%
18.98%
5.10%
0.91%
0.12%
1
17.78%
9.54%
2.56%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.47%
2.40%
0.64%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.75%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Cerro Porteno
1-017.78%
2-04.47%
2-12.40%
3-00.75%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-035.36%
1-19.54%
2-20.64%
Penarol
0-118.98%
0-25.10%
1-22.56%
0-30.91%
1-30.46%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%
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