The Strongest at Caracas

Updated

The Strongest

42.2%26.8%31.0%
The Strongest WinDrawCaracas Win
1.37Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 0

Caracas

Last 5 Games

The Strongest
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 vs Caracas
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 vs Libertad
W 1-2 vs Univ Catolica
Caracas
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Libertad
T 1-1 at The Strongest
L 1-2 at Libertad
L 1-3 at Junior+825
L 2-1 vs Junior+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
The Strongest+420+290+320+310+274+320+320+330.6
Caracas-130+100+100+106+101+100+106+110.1
Draw+235+215+220+231+240+220+240+242.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
The Strongest-----+330.6
Caracas-----+110.1
Draw-----+242.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
The Strongest: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Caracas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

The Strongest: 50.0%
Caracas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

The Strongest: 0.0%
Caracas: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On The Strongest ML
No Steam Moves On Caracas ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2¼-110o2¼-109o2½+120-o2¼-109o2¼-109o2½+124
Underu2¼-120u2¼-110u2¼-111u2½-135-u2¼-111u2½-135u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.21%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 413.36%
Exactly 62.78%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.52%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.68%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - The Strongest
Exactly 025.46%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 223.83%
Exactly 310.87%
Exactly 43.72%
Exactly 51.02%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Caracas
Exactly 032.25%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.65%
Exactly 37.79%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.43%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - The Strongest
Exactly 053.07%
Exactly 133.62%
Exactly 210.65%
Exactly 32.25%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Caracas
Exactly 059.22%
Exactly 131.03%
Exactly 28.13%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

The Strongest
Wins by 2+ goals19.70%
Wins by 3+ goals7.19%
Wins by 4+ goals2.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%
Caracas
Wins by 2+ goals12.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

The Strongest
Caracas
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
The Strongest
Wins by 1 goal22.48%
Wins by 2 goals12.50%
Wins by 3 goals5.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%
Caracas
Wins by 1 goal18.60%
Wins by 2 goals8.55%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.79%8.21%
1.571.27%28.73%
2.545.62%54.38%
3.524.24%75.76%
4.510.88%89.12%
5.54.20%95.80%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals The Strongest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.54%25.46%
1.539.71%60.29%
2.515.89%84.11%
3.55.02%94.98%
4.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Caracas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.75%32.25%
1.531.26%68.74%
2.510.61%89.39%
3.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.57%31.43%
1.532.20%67.80%
2.511.14%88.86%
3.53.02%96.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

The Strongest
Caracas
Score012345
0
8.21%
9.29%
5.26%
1.98%
0.56%
0.13%
1
11.23%
12.71%
7.19%
2.71%
0.77%
0.17%
2
7.68%
8.70%
4.92%
1.86%
0.53%
0.12%
3
3.50%
3.97%
2.24%
0.85%
0.24%
0.05%
4
1.20%
1.36%
0.77%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.33%
0.37%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
The Strongest
1-011.23%
2-07.68%
2-18.70%
3-03.50%
3-13.97%
3-22.24%
4-01.20%
4-11.36%
4-20.77%
4-30.29%
5-00.33%
5-10.37%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.21%
1-112.71%
2-24.92%
3-30.85%
Caracas
0-19.29%
0-25.26%
1-27.19%
0-31.98%
1-32.71%
2-31.86%
0-40.56%
1-40.77%
2-40.53%
3-40.24%
0-50.13%
1-50.17%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

The Strongest
Caracas
Score0123
0
31.43%
16.47%
4.31%
0.75%
1
19.91%
10.43%
2.73%
0.48%
2
6.31%
3.30%
0.87%
0.15%
3
1.33%
0.70%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.21%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
The Strongest
1-019.91%
2-06.31%
2-13.30%
3-01.33%
3-10.70%
3-20.18%
4-00.21%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-031.43%
1-110.43%
2-20.87%
Caracas
0-116.47%
0-24.31%
1-22.73%
0-30.75%
1-30.48%
2-30.15%