Libertad at Caracas

Updated

Libertad

54.9%23.8%21.2%
Libertad WinDrawCaracas Win
1.72Projected Goals 0.97
0Final Score 1

Caracas

Last Games

Libertad
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 1-2 vs Caracas
T 1-1 at The Strongest
L 1-4 at Nacional+345
W 0-1 vs Nacional+130
Caracas
Money Line
T 1-1 at The Strongest
L 1-2 at Libertad
L 1-3 at Junior+825
L 2-1 vs Junior+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+140+115+115+114+110+115+115+124.0
Caracas+205+255+245+273+247+245+273+272.6
Draw+220+220+240+235+239+240+240+250.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad-----+124.0
Caracas-----+272.6
Draw-----+250.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Caracas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 20.0%
Caracas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Caracas: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Caracas ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2¼-102o2¼-103o2-142-o2¼-103o2-142o2-133
Underu2-110u2¼-118u2¼-117u2+127-u2¼-117u2¼-117u2+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-133
Under-----u2+133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.78%
Exactly 224.55%
Exactly 414.82%
Exactly 63.58%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.25%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.38%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 017.93%
Exactly 130.81%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 315.17%
Exactly 46.52%
Exactly 52.24%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Caracas
Exactly 037.82%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.88%
Exactly 35.79%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.77%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 045.12%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 214.29%
Exactly 33.79%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Caracas
Exactly 063.75%
Exactly 128.70%
Exactly 26.46%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals30.36%
Wins by 3+ goals13.46%
Wins by 4+ goals4.89%
Wins by 5+ goals1.47%
Caracas
Wins by 2+ goals7.34%
Wins by 3+ goals1.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Libertad
Caracas
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals16.90%
Wins by 3 goals8.58%
Wins by 4 goals3.41%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Caracas
Wins by 1 goal13.87%
Wins by 2 goals5.40%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.22%6.78%
1.574.97%25.03%
2.550.42%49.58%
3.528.39%71.61%
4.513.58%86.42%
5.55.60%94.40%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.07%17.93%
1.551.26%48.74%
2.524.77%75.23%
3.59.60%90.40%
4.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals Caracas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.18%37.82%
1.525.40%74.60%
2.57.53%92.47%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.23%28.77%
1.535.39%64.61%
2.513.06%86.94%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Libertad
Caracas
Score01234
0
6.78%
6.59%
3.21%
1.04%
0.25%
1
11.65%
11.33%
5.51%
1.79%
0.43%
2
10.02%
9.74%
4.73%
1.53%
0.37%
3
5.74%
5.58%
2.71%
0.88%
0.21%
4
2.47%
2.40%
1.17%
0.38%
0.09%
5
0.85%
0.82%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
Libertad
1-011.65%
2-010.02%
2-19.74%
3-05.74%
3-15.58%
3-22.71%
4-02.47%
4-12.40%
4-21.17%
4-30.38%
5-00.85%
5-10.82%
5-20.40%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.78%
1-111.33%
2-24.73%
3-30.88%
Caracas
0-16.59%
0-23.21%
1-25.51%
0-31.04%
1-31.79%
2-31.53%
0-40.25%
1-40.43%
2-40.37%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Libertad
Caracas
Score0123
0
28.77%
12.95%
2.91%
0.44%
1
22.89%
10.31%
2.32%
0.35%
2
9.11%
4.10%
0.92%
0.14%
3
2.42%
1.09%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.48%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
Libertad
1-022.89%
2-09.11%
2-14.10%
3-02.42%
3-11.09%
3-20.24%
4-00.48%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-028.77%
1-110.31%
2-20.92%
Caracas
0-112.95%
0-22.91%
1-22.32%
0-30.44%
1-30.35%
2-30.14%