Athletico Paranaense at Libertad

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

25.7%27.8%46.5%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawLibertad Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.35
0Final Score 1

Libertad

Last Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs The Strongest
Libertad
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Caracas
T 1-1 at The Strongest
L 1-4 at Nacional+345
W 0-1 vs Nacional+130
T 2-2 vs Univ Catolica-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+247-+215-+194+215+215+224.6
Libertad+114-+140-+146+140+146+156.6
Draw+229-+215-+221+215+221+230.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense-----+224.6
Libertad-----+156.6
Draw-----+230.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Libertad: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Libertad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Libertad ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+104-o2¼+111--o2¼+111o2¼+111o2¼+114
Underu2¼-124-u2¼-131--u2¼-131u2¼-131u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.35%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 411.42%
Exactly 61.96%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.47%
Exactly 320.13%
Exactly 55.18%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 039.74%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.92%
Exactly 35.20%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 026.04%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.98%
Exactly 219.30%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 065.23%
Exactly 127.87%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 053.63%
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 210.41%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals8.81%
Wins by 3+ goals2.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals21.93%
Wins by 3+ goals8.03%
Wins by 4+ goals2.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Libertad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal16.84%
Wins by 2 goals6.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal24.56%
Wins by 2 goals13.90%
Wins by 3 goals5.68%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.65%10.35%
1.566.18%33.82%
2.539.56%60.44%
3.519.43%80.57%
4.58.01%91.99%
5.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.26%39.74%
1.523.58%76.42%
2.56.67%93.33%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.96%26.04%
1.538.93%61.07%
2.515.35%84.65%
3.54.78%95.22%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.02%34.98%
1.528.27%71.73%
2.58.98%91.02%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Libertad
Score012345
0
10.35%
13.92%
9.37%
4.20%
1.41%
0.38%
1
9.55%
12.85%
8.65%
3.88%
1.30%
0.35%
2
4.41%
5.93%
3.99%
1.79%
0.60%
0.16%
3
1.35%
1.82%
1.23%
0.55%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.31%
0.42%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-09.55%
2-04.41%
2-15.93%
3-01.35%
3-11.82%
3-21.23%
4-00.31%
4-10.42%
4-20.28%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.35%
1-112.85%
2-23.99%
3-30.55%
Libertad
0-113.92%
0-29.37%
1-28.65%
0-34.20%
1-33.88%
2-31.79%
0-41.41%
1-41.30%
2-40.60%
3-40.19%
0-50.38%
1-50.35%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Libertad
Score01234
0
34.98%
21.80%
6.79%
1.41%
0.22%
1
14.95%
9.31%
2.90%
0.60%
0.09%
2
3.19%
1.99%
0.62%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.45%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-014.95%
2-03.19%
2-11.99%
3-00.45%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-034.98%
1-19.31%
2-20.62%
Libertad
0-121.80%
0-26.79%
1-22.90%
0-31.41%
1-30.60%
2-30.13%
0-40.22%