Athletico Paranaense at Libertad

Updated 970 days ago

10:15 PM • Apr 26, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

25.7%27.8%46.5%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawLibertad Win

0.92Projected Goals 1.35

0Final Score 1

Libertad

Last Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	4/14 vs The Strongest

Libertad		Money Line
W 1-2	4/13 vs Caracas
T 1-1	4/08 at The Strongest
L 1-4	4/15 at Nacional	+345
W 0-1	4/08 vs Nacional	+130
T 2-2	3/17 vs Univ Catolica	-175

Money Line Analysis

:3.4%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+247	-	+215	-	+194	+215	+215	+224.6
Libertad	+114	-	+140	-	+146	+140	+146	+156.6
Draw	+229	-	+215	-	+221	+215	+221	+230.9

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+224.6
Libertad	-	-	-	-	-	+156.6
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+230.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Libertad: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Libertad: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Libertad: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Libertad: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.9%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+104	-	o2¼+111	-	-	o2¼+111	o2¼+111	o2¼+114
Under	u2¼-124	-	u2¼-131	-	-	u2¼-131	u2¼-131	u2¼-114

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+114
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.6%


No	55.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.35%
Exactly 2	26.62%
Exactly 4	11.42%
Exactly 6	1.96%
Exactly 8	0.18%


Exactly 1	23.47%
Exactly 3	20.13%
Exactly 5	5.18%
Exactly 7	0.63%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	39.74%
Exactly 1	36.67%
Exactly 2	16.92%
Exactly 3	5.20%
Exactly 4	1.20%
Exactly 5	0.22%

Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 0	26.04%
Exactly 1	35.04%
Exactly 2	23.57%
Exactly 3	10.57%
Exactly 4	3.56%
Exactly 5	0.96%
Exactly 6	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	34.98%
Exactly 2	19.30%
Exactly 4	1.77%


Exactly 1	36.74%
Exactly 3	6.75%
Exactly 5	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	65.23%
Exactly 1	27.87%
Exactly 2	5.95%
Exactly 3	0.85%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 0	53.63%
Exactly 1	33.41%
Exactly 2	10.41%
Exactly 3	2.16%
Exactly 4	0.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	8.81%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.28%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.45%

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals	21.93%
Wins by 3+ goals	8.03%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.35%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Libertad

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	16.84%
Wins by 2 goals	6.53%
Wins by 3 goals	1.83%
Wins by 4 goals	0.39%

Libertad
Wins by 1 goal	24.56%
Wins by 2 goals	13.90%
Wins by 3 goals	5.68%
Wins by 4 goals	1.80%
Wins by 5 goals	0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.65%	10.35%
1.5	66.18%	33.82%
2.5	39.56%	60.44%
3.5	19.43%	80.57%
4.5	8.01%	91.99%
5.5	2.83%	97.17%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.26%	39.74%
1.5	23.58%	76.42%
2.5	6.67%	93.33%
3.5	1.46%	98.54%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	73.96%	26.04%
1.5	38.93%	61.07%
2.5	15.35%	84.65%
3.5	4.78%	95.22%
4.5	1.22%	98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.02%	34.98%
1.5	28.27%	71.73%
2.5	8.98%	91.02%
3.5	2.22%	97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Libertad

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.35%	13.92%	9.37%	4.20%	1.41%	0.38%
1	9.55%	12.85%	8.65%	3.88%	1.30%	0.35%
2	4.41%	5.93%	3.99%	1.79%	0.60%	0.16%
3	1.35%	1.82%	1.23%	0.55%	0.19%	0.05%
4	0.31%	0.42%	0.28%	0.13%	0.04%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	9.55%
2-0	4.41%
2-1	5.93%
3-0	1.35%
3-1	1.82%
3-2	1.23%
4-0	0.31%
4-1	0.42%
4-2	0.28%
4-3	0.13%

Draw
0-0	10.35%
1-1	12.85%
2-2	3.99%
3-3	0.55%

Libertad
0-1	13.92%
0-2	9.37%
1-2	8.65%
0-3	4.20%
1-3	3.88%
2-3	1.79%
0-4	1.41%
1-4	1.30%
2-4	0.60%
3-4	0.19%
0-5	0.38%
1-5	0.35%
2-5	0.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Libertad

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	34.98%	21.80%	6.79%	1.41%	0.22%
1	14.95%	9.31%	2.90%	0.60%	0.09%
2	3.19%	1.99%	0.62%	0.13%	0.02%
3	0.45%	0.28%	0.09%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	14.95%
2-0	3.19%
2-1	1.99%
3-0	0.45%
3-1	0.28%

Draw
0-0	34.98%
1-1	9.31%
2-2	0.62%

Libertad
0-1	21.80%
0-2	6.79%
1-2	2.90%
0-3	1.41%
1-3	0.60%
2-3	0.13%
0-4	0.22%

Deportivo Tachira at CS Emelec

Nacional at Velez Sarsf

Athletico Paranaense at Libertad