Caracas at Penarol

Updated

Caracas

16.1%23.9%60.0%
WinDrawPenarol Win
0.74Projected Goals 1.68
0Final Score 5

Penarol

Last 5 Games

Caracas
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Atletico Mineiro+530
L 1-5 at Athletico Paranaense
T 0-0 vs The Strongest
W 0-1 vs Libertad
T 1-1 at The Strongest
Penarol
Money Line
L 0-1 at Rosario Cent+275
W 1-2 vs Colon
T 0-0 vs Cerro Porteno
L 0-1 at Olimpia
L 0-1 at Cerro Porteno

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Caracas+973+945+1100+1100+1107+1100+1107+1159.0
Penarol-310-324-375-370-392-370-324-300.6
Draw+425+455+440+460+454+460+460+487.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Caracas+800---+800-+800+1159.0
Penarol-380----380--380-300.6
Draw+350---+350-+350+487.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Caracas: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Caracas: 50.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Caracas: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Caracas: 20.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Caracas ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Caracas: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Caracas: 40.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Caracas: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Caracas: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Caracas ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-122o2½-125o2½-118o2½-117o2½-118o2½-117o2½-107
Underu2½-106u2½+104u2½-105u2½-102u2½-103u2½-102u2½+104u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115---o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-107
Underu2½-115---u2½-115-u2½-115u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.4%
 
No57.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.91%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 412.69%
Exactly 62.47%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.55%
Exactly 320.99%
Exactly 56.14%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Caracas
Exactly 047.89%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.98%
Exactly 33.18%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 018.61%
Exactly 131.29%
Exactly 226.31%
Exactly 314.75%
Exactly 46.20%
Exactly 52.09%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.65%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Caracas
Exactly 071.12%
Exactly 124.24%
Exactly 24.13%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 045.90%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 213.91%
Exactly 33.61%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Caracas
Wins by 2+ goals4.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.11%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals33.62%
Wins by 3+ goals14.95%
Wins by 4+ goals5.41%
Wins by 5+ goals1.62%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Caracas
Penarol
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Caracas
Wins by 1 goal11.55%
Wins by 2 goals3.57%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.11%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal26.39%
Wins by 2 goals18.68%
Wins by 3 goals9.54%
Wins by 4 goals3.79%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.09%8.91%
1.569.54%30.46%
2.543.50%56.50%
3.522.50%77.50%
4.59.81%90.19%
5.53.68%96.32%
6.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Caracas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.11%47.89%
1.516.85%83.15%
2.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.39%18.61%
1.550.11%49.89%
2.523.80%76.20%
3.59.05%90.95%
4.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.35%32.65%
1.530.81%69.19%
2.510.35%89.65%
3.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Caracas
Penarol
Score012345
0
8.91%
14.99%
12.60%
7.06%
2.97%
1.00%
1
6.56%
11.03%
9.28%
5.20%
2.19%
0.74%
2
2.41%
4.06%
3.41%
1.91%
0.80%
0.27%
3
0.59%
1.00%
0.84%
0.47%
0.20%
0.07%
4
0.11%
0.18%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Caracas
1-06.56%
2-02.41%
2-14.06%
3-00.59%
3-11.00%
3-20.84%
4-00.11%
4-10.18%
4-20.15%
Draw
0-08.91%
1-111.03%
2-23.41%
3-30.47%
Penarol
0-114.99%
0-212.60%
1-29.28%
0-37.06%
1-35.20%
2-31.91%
0-42.97%
1-42.19%
2-40.80%
3-40.20%
0-51.00%
1-50.74%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Caracas
Penarol
Score01234
0
32.65%
25.42%
9.90%
2.57%
0.50%
1
11.13%
8.66%
3.37%
0.88%
0.17%
2
1.90%
1.48%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.22%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Caracas
1-011.13%
2-01.90%
2-11.48%
3-00.22%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-032.65%
1-18.66%
2-20.57%
Penarol
0-125.42%
0-29.90%
1-23.37%
0-32.57%
1-30.88%
2-30.15%
0-40.50%
1-40.17%
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