Guairena FC at Nacional

Updated

Guairena FC

9.1%16.5%74.4%
WinDrawNacional Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.32
1Final Score 0

Nacional

Last Games

Guairena FC
Money Line
Nacional
Money Line
W 1-0 at Penarol+200
L 2-1 vs Penarol+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guairena FC+340+220+235+232+216+235+235+251.0
Nacional-115+135+140+138+129+140+140+146.2
Draw+235+200+200+209+224+200+224+223.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guairena FC-----+251.0
Nacional-----+146.2
Draw-----+223.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guairena FC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guairena FC: 0.0%
Nacional: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guairena FC: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guairena FC ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¼-102o2-123o2-138-o2-123o2-123o2¼+114
Underu2¼-105u2¼-118u2+103u2+108-u2+103u2¼-118u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.99%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 416.79%
Exactly 65.03%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.96%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.07%
Exactly 72.15%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Guairena FC
Exactly 050.84%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 211.63%
Exactly 32.62%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 09.82%
Exactly 122.79%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 411.87%
Exactly 55.51%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.96%
Exactly 224.04%
Exactly 43.86%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.64%
Exactly 311.12%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Guairena FC
Exactly 073.11%
Exactly 122.90%
Exactly 23.59%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 034.14%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 37.06%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Guairena FC
Wins by 2+ goals2.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals50.91%
Wins by 3+ goals28.89%
Wins by 4+ goals13.71%
Wins by 5+ goals5.51%
Wins by 6+ goals1.89%
Wins by 7+ goals0.53%
Wins by 8+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Guairena FC
Nacional
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Guairena FC
Wins by 1 goal6.81%
Wins by 2 goals1.86%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal23.39%
Wins by 2 goals22.02%
Wins by 3 goals15.18%
Wins by 4 goals8.20%
Wins by 5 goals3.62%
Wins by 6 goals1.35%
Wins by 7 goals0.43%
Wins by 8 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.01%4.99%
1.580.05%19.95%
2.557.63%42.37%
3.535.22%64.78%
4.518.43%81.57%
5.58.37%91.63%
6.53.34%96.66%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Guairena FC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.16%50.84%
1.514.77%85.23%
2.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.18%9.82%
1.567.40%32.60%
2.540.96%59.04%
3.520.50%79.50%
4.58.62%91.38%
5.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.04%24.96%
1.540.40%59.60%
2.516.36%83.64%
3.55.24%94.76%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Guairena FC
Nacional
Score012345
0
4.99%
11.58%
13.44%
10.40%
6.04%
2.80%
1
3.38%
7.84%
9.09%
7.04%
4.08%
1.90%
2
1.14%
2.65%
3.08%
2.38%
1.38%
0.64%
3
0.26%
0.60%
0.69%
0.54%
0.31%
0.14%
Guairena FC
1-03.38%
2-01.14%
2-12.65%
3-00.26%
3-10.60%
3-20.69%
Draw
0-04.99%
1-17.84%
2-23.08%
3-30.54%
Nacional
0-111.58%
0-213.44%
1-29.09%
0-310.40%
1-37.04%
2-32.38%
0-46.04%
1-44.08%
2-41.38%
3-40.31%
0-52.80%
1-51.90%
2-50.64%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Guairena FC
Nacional
Score012345
0
24.96%
26.82%
14.41%
5.16%
1.39%
0.30%
1
7.82%
8.40%
4.51%
1.62%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.22%
1.32%
0.71%
0.25%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Guairena FC
1-07.82%
2-01.22%
2-11.32%
3-00.13%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-024.96%
1-18.40%
2-20.71%
Nacional
0-126.82%
0-214.41%
1-24.51%
0-35.16%
1-31.62%
2-30.25%
0-41.39%
1-40.43%
0-50.30%