Independiente at Palestino

Updated

Independiente

34.3%29.7%36.0%
Independiente WinDrawPalestino Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.08
2Final Score 2

Palestino

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Always Ready
T 1-1 at Defensa y Just
W 5-1 at U Cesar Vallejo
W 1-2 vs Defensa y Just
L 0-2 at San Lorenzo+530
Palestino
Money Line
W 2-1 at Cuiaba
T 1-1 vs Cuiaba
W 5-1 at Estudiantes Merida-120
T 0-0 vs San Lorenzo+240
W 0-1 vs Estudiantes Merida-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+203+208+205+225+225+225+225+241.1
Palestino+145+167+160+160+160+160+167+172.9
Draw+231+194+170+180+180+180+194+193.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+241.1
Palestino-----+172.9
Draw-----+193.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palestino: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 10.0%
Palestino: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 10.0%
Palestino: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Palestino ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-139o2+117o1¾-115o1¾-114o1¾-114o1¾-114o1¾-114o1¾-104
Underu2+118u2-138u1¾-105u1¾-106u1¾-106u1¾-106u2-138u1¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-104
Under-----u1¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.84%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.23%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.26%
Exactly 319.17%
Exactly 54.37%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 034.98%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.30%
Exactly 36.76%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Palestino
Exactly 033.84%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.23%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 41.48%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 061.49%
Exactly 129.90%
Exactly 27.27%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palestino
Exactly 060.55%
Exactly 130.38%
Exactly 27.62%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals13.26%
Wins by 3+ goals3.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Palestino
Wins by 2+ goals14.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Palestino
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal20.99%
Wins by 2 goals9.39%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Palestino
Wins by 1 goal21.65%
Wins by 2 goals9.99%
Wins by 3 goals3.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.16%11.84%
1.562.90%37.10%
2.535.95%64.05%
3.516.78%83.22%
4.56.56%93.44%
5.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.02%34.98%
1.528.28%71.72%
2.58.98%91.02%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Palestino Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.16%33.84%
1.529.50%70.50%
2.59.63%90.37%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.77%37.23%
1.525.98%74.02%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Palestino
Score012345
0
11.84%
12.83%
6.95%
2.51%
0.68%
0.15%
1
12.43%
13.47%
7.30%
2.64%
0.71%
0.15%
2
6.53%
7.08%
3.83%
1.38%
0.38%
0.08%
3
2.29%
2.48%
1.34%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.60%
0.65%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-012.43%
2-06.53%
2-17.08%
3-02.29%
3-12.48%
3-21.34%
4-00.60%
4-10.65%
4-20.35%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.84%
1-113.47%
2-23.83%
3-30.48%
Palestino
0-112.83%
0-26.95%
1-27.30%
0-32.51%
1-32.64%
2-31.38%
0-40.68%
1-40.71%
2-40.38%
3-40.13%
0-50.15%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Palestino
Score0123
0
37.23%
18.68%
4.69%
0.78%
1
18.11%
9.08%
2.28%
0.38%
2
4.40%
2.21%
0.55%
0.09%
3
0.71%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
Independiente
1-018.11%
2-04.40%
2-12.21%
3-00.71%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-037.23%
1-19.08%
2-20.55%
Palestino
0-118.68%
0-24.69%
1-22.28%
0-30.78%
1-30.38%
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