Athletico Paranaense at Penarol

Updated 1154 days ago

12:30 AM • Sep 24, 2021

Athletico Paranaense

29.5%28.2%42.2%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawPenarol Win

0.91Projected Goals 1.31

2Final Score 1

Penarol

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 2-4	8/19 vs LDU de Quito	-170
L 0-1	8/12 at LDU de Quito	+340
W 1-4	7/21 vs AD Cali	-115
W 1-0	7/14 at AD Cali	+125
W 0-4	5/28 vs SD Aucas	-470

Penarol		Money Line
W 0-1	8/18 vs Sporting Cristal	-155
W 3-1	8/11 at Sporting Cristal	+130
L 1-0	7/23 vs Nacional	+150
W 2-1	7/16 at Nacional	+170
T 0-0	5/27 at Sport Huancayo	-325

Money Line Analysis

:3.4%:5.2%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+225	+250	+260	+262	+247	+260	+262	+276.8
Penarol	+117	+145	+140	+139	+137	+140	+145	+149.5
Draw	+205	+185	+185	+186	+186	+185	+186	+199.6

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+245	-	-	-	-	+260	+260	+276.8
Penarol	+125	-	-	-	-	+140	+140	+149.5
Draw	+215	-	-	-	-	+180	+180	+199.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Penarol: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Penarol: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Penarol: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Penarol: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

:1.4%:3.5%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+127	o1¾-118	o1¾-110	o1¾-112	-	o1¾-110	o1¾-110	o1¾-103
Under	u2¼-147	u1¾+104	u1¾-110	u1¾-106	-	u1¾-110	u1¾+104	u1¾+103

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-120	-	-	-	-	o2+130	o2+130	o1¾-103
Under	u2+100	-	-	-	-	u2-150	u2-150	u1¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.7%


No	56.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.83%
Exactly 2	26.76%
Exactly 4	11.02%
Exactly 6	1.81%
Exactly 8	0.16%


Exactly 1	24.07%
Exactly 3	19.82%
Exactly 5	4.90%
Exactly 7	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	40.05%
Exactly 1	36.65%
Exactly 2	16.77%
Exactly 3	5.11%
Exactly 4	1.17%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 0	27.04%
Exactly 1	35.37%
Exactly 2	23.12%
Exactly 3	10.08%
Exactly 4	3.30%
Exactly 5	0.86%
Exactly 6	0.19%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.73%
Exactly 2	18.92%
Exactly 4	1.67%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	6.49%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	65.46%
Exactly 1	27.74%
Exactly 2	5.88%
Exactly 3	0.83%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 0	54.58%
Exactly 1	33.05%
Exactly 2	10.00%
Exactly 3	2.02%
Exactly 4	0.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	8.93%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.30%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.45%

Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals	21.11%
Wins by 3+ goals	7.55%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.16%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Penarol

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	17.15%
Wins by 2 goals	6.64%
Wins by 3 goals	1.85%
Wins by 4 goals	0.39%

Penarol
Wins by 1 goal	24.51%
Wins by 2 goals	13.55%
Wins by 3 goals	5.40%
Wins by 4 goals	1.67%
Wins by 5 goals	0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.17%	10.83%
1.5	65.09%	34.91%
2.5	38.34%	61.66%
3.5	18.51%	81.49%
4.5	7.50%	92.50%
5.5	2.60%	97.40%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.95%	40.05%
1.5	23.30%	76.70%
2.5	6.54%	93.46%
3.5	1.42%	98.58%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.96%	27.04%
1.5	37.59%	62.41%
2.5	14.47%	85.53%
3.5	4.39%	95.61%
4.5	1.09%	98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.27%	35.73%
1.5	27.50%	72.50%
2.5	8.57%	91.43%
3.5	2.08%	97.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Penarol

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.83%	14.16%	9.26%	4.04%	1.32%	0.35%
1	9.91%	12.96%	8.47%	3.69%	1.21%	0.32%
2	4.53%	5.93%	3.88%	1.69%	0.55%	0.14%
3	1.38%	1.81%	1.18%	0.52%	0.17%	0.04%
4	0.32%	0.41%	0.27%	0.12%	0.04%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	9.91%
2-0	4.53%
2-1	5.93%
3-0	1.38%
3-1	1.81%
3-2	1.18%
4-0	0.32%
4-1	0.41%
4-2	0.27%
4-3	0.12%

Draw
0-0	10.83%
1-1	12.96%
2-2	3.88%
3-3	0.52%

Penarol
0-1	14.16%
0-2	9.26%
1-2	8.47%
0-3	4.04%
1-3	3.69%
2-3	1.69%
0-4	1.32%
1-4	1.21%
2-4	0.55%
3-4	0.17%
0-5	0.35%
1-5	0.32%
2-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Penarol

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	35.73%	21.63%	6.55%	1.32%	0.20%
1	15.14%	9.17%	2.77%	0.56%	0.08%
2	3.21%	1.94%	0.59%	0.12%	0.02%
3	0.45%	0.27%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.14%
2-0	3.21%
2-1	1.94%
3-0	0.45%
3-1	0.27%

Draw
0-0	35.73%
1-1	9.17%
2-2	0.59%

Penarol
0-1	21.63%
0-2	6.55%
1-2	2.77%
0-3	1.32%
1-3	0.56%
2-3	0.12%
0-4	0.20%

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Athletico Paranaense at Penarol