Gremio at Aragua

Updated

Gremio

83.5%8.9%7.6%
Gremio WinDrawWin
2.77Projected Goals 0.25
6Final Score 2

Aragua

Last Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Lanus-200
W 0-8 vs Aragua
W 2-1 at Lanus+155
W 1-2 vs La Equidad-290
Aragua
Money Line
L 2-1 vs La Equidad+325
L 0-8 at Gremio
L 1-2 at La Equidad+620

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-315--375-323-362-323-323-
Aragua+650-+800+650+921+650+921-
Draw+400-+400+385+461+385+461-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-335-----350-350-
Aragua+850----+900+900-
Draw+450----+460+460-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aragua: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 10.0%
Aragua: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Aragua: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Aragua ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aragua: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 10.0%
Aragua: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Aragua: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Aragua ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130-o3-105o2¾-117-o2¾-117o2¾-117-
Underu3+100-u3-125u2¾-103-u2¾-103u3-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes20.9%
 
No79.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 416.90%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.76%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.20%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 06.29%
Exactly 117.40%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 415.35%
Exactly 58.49%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 80.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Aragua
Exactly 077.75%
Exactly 119.57%
Exactly 22.46%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.72%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 027.78%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 39.73%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aragua
Exactly 089.00%
Exactly 110.37%
Exactly 20.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals70.27%
Wins by 3+ goals46.82%
Wins by 4+ goals26.35%
Aragua
Wins by 2+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Aragua
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal18.81%
Wins by 2 goals23.45%
Wins by 3 goals20.47%
Wins by 4 goals13.69%
Aragua
Wins by 1 goal1.71%
Wins by 2 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.35%19.65%
2.558.09%41.91%
3.535.68%64.32%
4.518.78%81.22%
5.58.58%91.42%
6.53.44%96.56%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.71%6.29%
1.576.31%23.69%
2.552.25%47.75%
3.530.06%69.94%
4.514.71%85.29%
5.56.22%93.78%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Aragua Over/Under

OverUnder
0.522.25%77.75%
1.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.28%24.72%
1.540.73%59.27%
2.516.59%83.41%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Aragua
Score012
0
4.89%
1.23%
0.15%
1
13.53%
3.40%
0.43%
2
18.71%
4.71%
0.59%
3
17.25%
4.34%
0.55%
4
11.93%
3.00%
0.38%
Gremio
1-013.53%
2-018.71%
2-14.71%
3-017.25%
3-14.34%
3-20.55%
4-011.93%
4-13.00%
4-20.38%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-13.40%
2-20.59%
Aragua
0-11.23%
0-20.15%
1-20.43%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Aragua
Score012
0
24.72%
2.88%
0.17%
1
31.67%
3.69%
0.22%
2
20.28%
2.36%
0.14%
3
8.66%
1.01%
0.06%
4
2.77%
0.32%
0.02%
5
0.71%
0.08%
0.00%
6
0.15%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-031.67%
2-020.28%
2-12.36%
3-08.66%
3-11.01%
4-02.77%
4-10.32%
5-00.71%
6-00.15%
Draw
0-024.72%
1-13.69%
2-20.14%
Aragua
0-12.88%
0-20.17%
1-20.22%