Midtjylland at Aarhus

Updated

Midtjylland

41.1%27.4%31.5%
Midtjylland WinDrawAarhus Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.11
1Final Score 1

Aarhus

Last 5 Games

Midtjylland
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Silkeborg-295
T 3-3 at Nordsjaelland+300
W 2-1 at FC Copenhagen+335
W 1-2 vs Aarhus-200
W 2-3 vs Brondby+135
Aarhus
Money Line
W 3-2 at Brondby+580
W 2-3 vs FC Copenhagen+775
L 1-0 vs Silkeborg+110
L 1-2 at Midtjylland+525
L 3-1 vs Nordsjaelland+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+124+164+150+156+168+156+168+176.8
Aarhus+223+164+150+147+150+147+164+167.1
Draw+251+252+280+250+250+250+280+278.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+115----+165+165+176.8
Aarhus+240----+155+155+167.1
Draw+245----+255+255+278.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 30.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 0.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Midtjylland ML moved from +144 to +138
Aarhus ML moved from +160 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 30.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 0.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Midtjylland ML
Aarhus ML moved from +165 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-129o2¾-105o2¾-106o2¾-104o2¾-106o2½-129o2¾+104
Underu2½+102u2½+109u2¾-115u2¾-114u2¾-116u2¾-114u2¾-114u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.98%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 412.63%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 320.96%
Exactly 56.09%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 027.11%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 033.11%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.75%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 42.12%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 054.64%
Exactly 133.02%
Exactly 29.98%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 059.94%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals18.62%
Wins by 3+ goals6.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals12.34%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Midtjylland
Aarhus
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals12.05%
Wins by 3 goals4.71%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal19.02%
Wins by 2 goals8.64%
Wins by 3 goals2.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.02%8.98%
1.569.39%30.61%
2.543.31%56.69%
3.522.35%77.65%
4.59.72%90.28%
5.53.63%96.37%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.89%27.11%
1.537.50%62.50%
2.514.41%85.59%
3.54.36%95.64%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.89%33.11%
1.530.30%69.70%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.25%32.75%
1.530.69%69.31%
2.510.29%89.71%
3.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Midtjylland
Aarhus
Score012345
0
8.98%
9.92%
5.48%
2.02%
0.56%
0.12%
1
11.72%
12.95%
7.16%
2.64%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.65%
8.45%
4.67%
1.72%
0.48%
0.11%
3
3.33%
3.68%
2.03%
0.75%
0.21%
0.05%
4
1.09%
1.20%
0.66%
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.28%
0.31%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Midtjylland
1-011.72%
2-07.65%
2-18.45%
3-03.33%
3-13.68%
3-22.03%
4-01.09%
4-11.20%
4-20.66%
4-30.24%
5-00.28%
5-10.31%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.98%
1-112.95%
2-24.67%
3-30.75%
Aarhus
0-19.92%
0-25.48%
1-27.16%
0-32.02%
1-32.64%
2-31.72%
0-40.56%
1-40.73%
2-40.48%
3-40.21%
0-50.12%
1-50.16%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Midtjylland
Aarhus
Score0123
0
32.75%
16.76%
4.29%
0.73%
1
19.79%
10.13%
2.59%
0.44%
2
5.98%
3.06%
0.78%
0.13%
3
1.20%
0.62%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.18%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Midtjylland
1-019.79%
2-05.98%
2-13.06%
3-01.20%
3-10.62%
3-20.16%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-032.75%
1-110.13%
2-20.78%
Aarhus
0-116.76%
0-24.29%
1-22.59%
0-30.73%
1-30.44%
2-30.13%