Bayern Munich at Mainz 05

Updated

Bayern Munich

67.1%18.2%14.7%
Bayern Munich WinDrawWin
2.34Projected Goals 1.01
4Final Score 0

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Bayern Munich
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Freiburg-600
W 4-0 at Mainz 05-220
W 5-2 at Augsburg
W 5-0 at FC Viktoria Koln
L 0-5 at Borussia Monchengladbach-290
Mainz 05
Money Line
W 3-1 at SV Wehen Wiesbaden-315
L 0-3 at Hertha BSC+110
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+510
W 3-0 at FC Erzgebirge Aue
L 1-3 at VfL Bochum+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bayern Munich-294-407-480-400-450-400-400-282.7
Mainz 05+739+1012+900+740+760+740+1012+809.7
Draw+472+579+550+510+510+510+579+560.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bayern Munich------282.7
Mainz 05-----+809.7
Draw-----+560.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bayern Munich ML moved from -400 to -450
Mainz 05 ML moved from +760 to +740

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4+102o3½-118o3½-112o3½-111o3½-110o3½-111o3½-110o3½-101
Underu4-120u3½+100u3½-108u3½-109u3½-110u3½-109u3½+100u3½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4+110---o4+110-o4+110o3½-101
Underu4-140---u4-140-u4-140u3½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-112 to u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.4%
 
No42.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.51%
Exactly 219.69%
Exactly 418.41%
Exactly 66.89%
Exactly 81.38%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.75%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 512.34%
Exactly 73.30%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayern Munich
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 122.52%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 412.04%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 70.74%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 036.47%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.55%
Exactly 36.24%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.20%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 45.11%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.89%
Exactly 313.19%
Exactly 51.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayern Munich
Exactly 033.82%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 062.69%
Exactly 129.28%
Exactly 26.84%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayern Munich
Wins by 2+ goals44.42%
Wins by 3+ goals24.61%
Wins by 4+ goals11.48%
Wins by 5+ goals4.56%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals4.96%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayern Munich
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Bayern Munich
Wins by 1 goal22.58%
Wins by 2 goals19.81%
Wins by 3 goals13.13%
Wins by 4 goals6.93%
Wins by 5 goals3.02%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal9.72%
Wins by 2 goals3.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.49%3.51%
1.584.74%15.26%
2.565.05%34.95%
3.543.07%56.93%
4.524.66%75.34%
5.512.32%87.68%
6.55.43%94.57%
7.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Bayern Munich Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.86%32.14%
2.541.49%58.51%
3.520.91%79.09%
4.58.87%91.13%
5.53.23%96.77%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.53%36.47%
1.526.74%73.26%
2.58.19%91.81%
3.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.80%21.20%
1.545.91%54.09%
2.520.41%79.59%
3.57.22%92.78%
4.52.11%97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bayern Munich
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
3.51%
3.54%
1.78%
0.60%
0.15%
1
8.21%
8.29%
4.18%
1.40%
0.35%
2
9.62%
9.70%
4.89%
1.64%
0.41%
3
7.51%
7.57%
3.82%
1.28%
0.32%
4
4.39%
4.43%
2.23%
0.75%
0.19%
5
2.06%
2.07%
1.05%
0.35%
0.09%
Bayern Munich
1-08.21%
2-09.62%
2-19.70%
3-07.51%
3-17.57%
3-23.82%
4-04.39%
4-14.43%
4-22.23%
4-30.75%
5-02.06%
5-12.07%
5-21.05%
5-30.35%
Draw
0-03.51%
1-18.29%
2-24.89%
3-31.28%
4-40.19%
Mainz 05
0-13.54%
0-21.78%
1-24.18%
0-30.60%
1-31.40%
2-31.64%
0-40.15%
1-40.35%
2-40.41%
3-40.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Bayern Munich
Mainz 05
Score0123
0
21.20%
9.90%
2.31%
0.36%
1
22.98%
10.73%
2.51%
0.39%
2
12.46%
5.82%
1.36%
0.21%
3
4.50%
2.10%
0.49%
0.08%
4
1.22%
0.57%
0.13%
0.02%
5
0.26%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Bayern Munich
1-022.98%
2-012.46%
2-15.82%
3-04.50%
3-12.10%
3-20.49%
4-01.22%
4-10.57%
4-20.13%
5-00.26%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-021.20%
1-110.73%
2-21.36%
Mainz 05
0-19.90%
0-22.31%
1-22.51%
0-30.36%
1-30.39%
2-30.21%