Watford at Stevenage

Updated

Watford

62.1%22.9%15.0%
Watford WinDrawWin
1.76Projected Goals 0.73
3Final Score 4

Stevenage

Last Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Milton Keynes Dons-220
L 3-1 vs Stoke City-120
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+150
Stevenage
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Charlton Athletic+145
W 0-1 vs Peterborough United+120
W 2-1 at Reading+150
L 5-3 vs Wycombe Wanderers+185
W 0-3 vs Luton Town+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+108-118-120-130-117-130-117-103.6
Stevenage+262+344+320+285+314+285+344+327.6
Draw+254+266+250+250+253+250+266+288.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+115----145--145-103.6
Stevenage+185---+335-+335+327.6
Draw+220---+230-+230+288.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stevenage: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stevenage: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from -110 to -120
Stevenage ML moved from +332 to +314

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stevenage: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stevenage: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from -105 to -145
No Steam Moves On Stevenage ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+103o2½+105o2¼-120o2¼-121o2¼-120o2¼-121o2¼-120o2¼-110
Underu2½-121u2½-123u2¼+100u2¼+101u2¼-102u2¼+101u2½-123u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105---o2½-105-o2½-105o2¼-110
Underu2½-125---u2½-125-u2½-125u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.8%
 
No57.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.30%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.28%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.65%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 56.61%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 017.17%
Exactly 130.26%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 315.65%
Exactly 46.89%
Exactly 52.43%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Stevenage
Exactly 048.30%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 212.79%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.58%
Exactly 220.98%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 044.23%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.72%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stevenage
Exactly 071.40%
Exactly 124.05%
Exactly 24.05%
Exactly 30.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals35.88%
Wins by 3+ goals16.54%
Wins by 4+ goals6.22%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Stevenage
Wins by 2+ goals4.09%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stevenage
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Watford
Wins by 1 goal26.21%
Wins by 2 goals19.34%
Wins by 3 goals10.32%
Wins by 4 goals4.28%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Stevenage
Wins by 1 goal10.82%
Wins by 2 goals3.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.70%8.30%
1.571.05%28.95%
2.545.35%54.65%
3.524.02%75.98%
4.510.74%89.26%
5.54.13%95.87%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.83%17.17%
1.552.57%47.43%
2.525.92%74.08%
3.510.26%89.74%
4.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals Stevenage Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.70%48.30%
1.516.55%83.45%
2.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.42%31.58%
1.532.02%67.98%
2.511.04%88.96%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stevenage
Score0123
0
8.30%
6.04%
2.20%
0.53%
1
14.62%
10.63%
3.87%
0.94%
2
12.87%
9.37%
3.41%
0.83%
3
7.56%
5.50%
2.00%
0.49%
4
3.33%
2.42%
0.88%
0.21%
5
1.17%
0.85%
0.31%
0.08%
Watford
1-014.62%
2-012.87%
2-19.37%
3-07.56%
3-15.50%
3-22.00%
4-03.33%
4-12.42%
4-20.88%
4-30.21%
5-01.17%
5-10.85%
5-20.31%
Draw
0-08.30%
1-110.63%
2-23.41%
3-30.49%
Stevenage
0-16.04%
0-22.20%
1-23.87%
0-30.53%
1-30.94%
2-30.83%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stevenage
Score0123
0
31.58%
10.64%
1.79%
0.20%
1
25.76%
8.68%
1.46%
0.16%
2
10.51%
3.54%
0.60%
0.07%
3
2.86%
0.96%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.58%
0.20%
0.03%
0.00%
Watford
1-025.76%
2-010.51%
2-13.54%
3-02.86%
3-10.96%
3-20.16%
4-00.58%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-031.58%
1-18.68%
2-20.60%
Stevenage
0-110.64%
0-21.79%
1-21.46%
0-30.20%
1-30.16%
Charlton Ath at Newport County
Morecambe at Rotherham Utd