Watford at Stevenage

Updated

Watford

62.1%22.9%15.0%
Watford WinDrawWin
1.76Projected Goals 0.73
3Final Score 4

Stevenage

Last Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Milton Keynes Dons-220
L 3-1 vs Stoke City-120
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+150
Stevenage
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Charlton Athletic+145
W 0-1 vs Peterborough United+120
W 2-1 at Reading+150
L 5-3 vs Wycombe Wanderers+185
W 0-3 vs Luton Town+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+108-118-120-130-117-130-117-103.6
Stevenage+262+344+320+285+314+285+344+327.6
Draw+254+266+250+250+253+250+266+288.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+115----145--145-103.6
Stevenage+185---+335-+335+327.6
Draw+220---+230-+230+288.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stevenage: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stevenage: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from -110 to -120
Stevenage ML moved from +332 to +314

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stevenage: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stevenage: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from -105 to -145
No Steam Moves On Stevenage ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+103o2½+105o2¼-120o2¼-121o2¼-120o2¼-121o2¼-120o2¼-110
Underu2½-121u2½-123u2¼+100u2¼+101u2¼-102u2¼+101u2½-123u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105---o2½-105-o2½-105o2¼-110
Underu2½-125---u2½-125-u2½-125u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.8%
 
No57.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.30%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.28%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.65%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 56.61%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 017.17%
Exactly 130.26%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 315.65%
Exactly 46.89%
Exactly 52.43%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Stevenage
Exactly 048.30%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 212.79%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.58%
Exactly 220.98%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 044.23%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.72%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stevenage
Exactly 071.40%
Exactly 124.05%
Exactly 24.05%
Exactly 30.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals35.88%
Wins by 3+ goals16.54%
Wins by 4+ goals6.22%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Stevenage
Wins by 2+ goals4.09%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stevenage
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Watford
Wins by 1 goal26.21%
Wins by 2 goals19.34%
Wins by 3 goals10.32%
Wins by 4 goals4.28%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Stevenage
Wins by 1 goal10.82%
Wins by 2 goals3.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.70%8.30%
1.571.05%28.95%
2.545.35%54.65%
3.524.02%75.98%
4.510.74%89.26%
5.54.13%95.87%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.83%17.17%
1.552.57%47.43%
2.525.92%74.08%
3.510.26%89.74%
4.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals Stevenage Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.70%48.30%
1.516.55%83.45%
2.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.42%31.58%
1.532.02%67.98%
2.511.04%88.96%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stevenage
Score0123
0
8.30%
6.04%
2.20%
0.53%
1
14.62%
10.63%
3.87%
0.94%
2
12.87%
9.37%
3.41%
0.83%
3
7.56%
5.50%
2.00%
0.49%
4
3.33%
2.42%
0.88%
0.21%
5
1.17%
0.85%
0.31%
0.08%
Watford
1-014.62%
2-012.87%
2-19.37%
3-07.56%
3-15.50%
3-22.00%
4-03.33%
4-12.42%
4-20.88%
4-30.21%
5-01.17%
5-10.85%
5-20.31%
Draw
0-08.30%
1-110.63%
2-23.41%
3-30.49%
Stevenage
0-16.04%
0-22.20%
1-23.87%
0-30.53%
1-30.94%
2-30.83%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stevenage
Score0123
0
31.58%
10.64%
1.79%
0.20%
1
25.76%
8.68%
1.46%
0.16%
2
10.51%
3.54%
0.60%
0.07%
3
2.86%
0.96%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.58%
0.20%
0.03%
0.00%
Watford
1-025.76%
2-010.51%
2-13.54%
3-02.86%
3-10.96%
3-20.16%
4-00.58%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-031.58%
1-18.68%
2-20.60%
Stevenage
0-110.64%
0-21.79%
1-21.46%
0-30.20%
1-30.16%