Brentford at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Brentford

14.2%20.1%65.8%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.05
1Final Score 3

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Sheffield Wednesday-480
W 1-3 vs Leyton Orient
W 1-0 at Colchester United
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+235
W 3-0 at Newport County
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Chelsea+130
W 1-0 at AFC Wimbledon-1000
W 4-3 at Nottingham Forest-115
L 2-4 at Chelsea+400
W 3-0 at Manchester United+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+419+593+575+625+612+625+625+661.7
Newcastle Utd-162-238-265-260-257-260-238-219.9
Draw+338+423+400+425+428+425+428+451.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+445-+640+600+400+650+650+661.7
Newcastle Utd-180--265-270-215-265-215-219.9
Draw+345-+420+400+310+425+425+451.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +600 to +590
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -252 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +665 to +585
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -240 to -265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-114o3½+102o3½+100o3¼-122o3¼-122o3¼-122o3¼-122o3¼-111
Underu3-103u3½-119u3½-120u3¼+102u3¼+100u3¼+102u3½-119u3¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115-o3½+105o3½+105o3-125o3½+100o3-125o3¼-111
Underu3-105-u3½-125u3½-125u3-105u3½-120u3½-120u3¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.64%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 416.07%
Exactly 64.43%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.21%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.24%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 043.73%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 214.96%
Exactly 34.13%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 012.89%
Exactly 126.40%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.48%
Exactly 49.46%
Exactly 53.88%
Exactly 61.32%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.40%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.16%
Exactly 310.39%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 068.18%
Exactly 126.11%
Exactly 25.00%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 038.73%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.43%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals4.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals41.12%
Wins by 3+ goals21.02%
Wins by 4+ goals8.88%
Wins by 5+ goals3.12%
Wins by 6+ goals0.89%
Wins by 7+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal9.90%
Wins by 2 goals3.27%
Wins by 3 goals0.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals20.10%
Wins by 3 goals12.14%
Wins by 4 goals5.76%
Wins by 5 goals2.23%
Wins by 6 goals0.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.36%5.64%
1.578.16%21.84%
2.554.85%45.15%
3.532.50%67.50%
4.516.44%83.56%
5.57.20%92.80%
6.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.27%43.73%
1.520.10%79.90%
2.55.14%94.86%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.11%12.89%
1.560.71%39.29%
2.533.66%66.34%
3.515.18%84.82%
4.55.72%94.28%
5.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.60%26.40%
1.538.44%61.56%
2.515.02%84.98%
3.54.63%95.37%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
5.64%
11.55%
11.83%
8.08%
4.14%
1.70%
1
4.66%
9.55%
9.78%
6.68%
3.42%
1.40%
2
1.93%
3.95%
4.05%
2.76%
1.42%
0.58%
3
0.53%
1.09%
1.12%
0.76%
0.39%
0.16%
4
0.11%
0.23%
0.23%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
Brentford
1-04.66%
2-01.93%
2-13.95%
3-00.53%
3-11.09%
3-21.12%
4-00.11%
4-10.23%
4-20.23%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-05.64%
1-19.55%
2-24.05%
3-30.76%
Newcastle United
0-111.55%
0-211.83%
1-29.78%
0-38.08%
1-36.68%
2-32.76%
0-44.14%
1-43.42%
2-41.42%
3-40.39%
0-51.70%
1-51.40%
2-50.58%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
26.40%
25.05%
11.88%
3.76%
0.89%
0.17%
1
10.11%
9.59%
4.55%
1.44%
0.34%
0.06%
2
1.94%
1.84%
0.87%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Brentford
1-010.11%
2-01.94%
2-11.84%
3-00.25%
3-10.23%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-026.40%
1-19.59%
2-20.87%
Newcastle United
0-125.05%
0-211.88%
1-24.55%
0-33.76%
1-31.44%
2-30.28%
0-40.89%
1-40.34%
0-50.17%