Chelsea at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Chelsea

35.0%28.7%36.2%
Chelsea WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 2

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Barrow-3000
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+195
W 1-6 vs Middlesbrough-590
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough-200
W 2-4 vs Newcastle United-150
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 1-0 at AFC Wimbledon-1000
W 4-3 at Nottingham Forest-115
L 2-4 at Chelsea+400
W 3-0 at Manchester United+300
W 0-1 vs Manchester City+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+180+229+225+237+235+237+237+253.8
Newcastle Utd+145+114+105+108+106+108+114+118.4
Draw+220+274+255+267+268+267+274+285.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+160-+236-+150+240+240+253.8
Newcastle Utd+155-+105-+130+105+130+118.4
Draw+265-+275-+240+270+275+285.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +185 to +173
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +125 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +188 to +170
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +125 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o3-119o3-112o3-112o3-112o3-112o3-112o3-102
Underu2¾-120u3+101u3-108u3-108u3-108u3-108u3+101u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o3-115-o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-102
Underu3-125-u3-105-u3-115u3-105u3-105u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.68%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 032.83%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 220.37%
Exactly 37.56%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 032.03%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.76%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.24%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 059.70%
Exactly 130.79%
Exactly 27.94%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 059.03%
Exactly 131.12%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals14.04%
Wins by 3+ goals4.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals14.79%
Wins by 3+ goals4.60%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal20.88%
Wins by 2 goals9.75%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal21.35%
Wins by 2 goals10.19%
Wins by 3 goals3.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.80%34.20%
2.539.13%60.87%
3.519.11%80.89%
4.57.83%92.17%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.17%32.83%
1.530.61%69.39%
2.510.24%89.76%
3.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.97%32.03%
1.531.51%68.49%
2.510.75%89.25%
3.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.76%35.24%
1.528.00%72.00%
2.58.84%91.16%
3.52.17%97.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
10.51%
11.97%
6.81%
2.59%
0.74%
0.17%
1
11.71%
13.33%
7.59%
2.88%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.52%
7.43%
4.23%
1.60%
0.46%
0.10%
3
2.42%
2.76%
1.57%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.67%
0.77%
0.44%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-011.71%
2-06.52%
2-17.43%
3-02.42%
3-12.76%
3-21.57%
4-00.67%
4-10.77%
4-20.44%
4-30.17%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-010.51%
1-113.33%
2-24.23%
3-30.60%
Newcastle United
0-111.97%
0-26.81%
1-27.59%
0-32.59%
1-32.88%
2-31.60%
0-40.74%
1-40.82%
2-40.46%
3-40.17%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
35.24%
18.58%
4.90%
0.86%
0.11%
1
18.18%
9.58%
2.53%
0.44%
0.06%
2
4.69%
2.47%
0.65%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.81%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-018.18%
2-04.69%
2-12.47%
3-00.81%
3-10.42%
3-20.11%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-035.24%
1-19.58%
2-20.65%
Newcastle United
0-118.58%
0-24.90%
1-22.53%
0-30.86%
1-30.44%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%