Manchester City at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Manchester City

70.2%17.9%11.9%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.26Projected Goals 0.81
0Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Southampton-300
W 2-3 vs Liverpool-160
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-260
L 3-5 at West Ham United-235
W 1-6 vs Wycombe Wanderers
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 0-2 at Manchester United+250
W 1-2 vs Southampton-260
W 1-0 at Southampton-155
W 0-2 vs Leicester City-215
W 0-1 vs Bournemouth-290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+116+127+125+118+120+118+127+128.7
Newcastle Utd+225+219+210+228+224+228+228+244.2
Draw+271+250+230+250+250+250+250+267.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+125---+120+125+125+128.7
Newcastle Utd+195---+160+220+220+244.2
Draw+275---+250+240+250+267.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +139 to +127
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +178 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +135 to +125
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+111o2½-115o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-102
Underu3-131u2½-103u2½-108u2½-108u2½-108u2½-108u2½-103u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o2½-135o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102
Underu3-130---u2½+105u2½-115u2½+105u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-114 to u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+115 to o2½-140
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.66%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 417.17%
Exactly 65.38%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.28%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.53%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 010.44%
Exactly 123.59%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 320.07%
Exactly 411.34%
Exactly 55.12%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 70.62%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 044.59%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 214.54%
Exactly 33.91%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.17%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 44.09%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 311.53%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 035.13%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 36.70%
Exactly 41.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 068.80%
Exactly 125.73%
Exactly 24.81%
Exactly 30.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals46.65%
Wins by 3+ goals25.67%
Wins by 4+ goals11.81%
Wins by 5+ goals4.61%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals3.43%
Wins by 3+ goals0.76%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.52%
Wins by 2 goals20.98%
Wins by 3 goals13.86%
Wins by 4 goals7.21%
Wins by 5 goals3.08%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal8.41%
Wins by 2 goals2.68%
Wins by 3 goals0.63%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.34%4.66%
1.581.06%18.94%
2.559.16%40.84%
3.536.78%63.22%
4.519.61%80.39%
5.59.08%90.92%
6.53.70%96.30%
7.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.56%10.44%
1.565.97%34.03%
2.539.31%60.69%
3.519.24%80.76%
4.57.91%92.09%
5.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.41%44.59%
1.519.39%80.61%
2.54.85%95.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.83%24.17%
1.541.50%58.50%
2.517.14%82.86%
3.55.60%94.40%
4.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
4.66%
3.76%
1.52%
0.41%
1
10.52%
8.50%
3.43%
0.92%
2
11.88%
9.60%
3.88%
1.04%
3
8.95%
7.23%
2.92%
0.79%
4
5.06%
4.08%
1.65%
0.44%
5
2.28%
1.84%
0.74%
0.20%
Manchester City
1-010.52%
2-011.88%
2-19.60%
3-08.95%
3-17.23%
3-22.92%
4-05.06%
4-14.08%
4-21.65%
4-30.44%
5-02.28%
5-11.84%
5-20.74%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-04.66%
1-18.50%
2-23.88%
3-30.79%
Newcastle United
0-13.76%
0-21.52%
1-23.43%
0-30.41%
1-30.92%
2-31.04%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
24.17%
9.04%
1.69%
0.21%
1
25.29%
9.45%
1.77%
0.22%
2
13.23%
4.95%
0.92%
0.12%
3
4.61%
1.72%
0.32%
0.04%
4
1.21%
0.45%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.29%
2-013.23%
2-14.95%
3-04.61%
3-11.72%
3-20.32%
4-01.21%
4-10.45%
5-00.25%
Draw
0-024.17%
1-19.45%
2-20.92%
Newcastle United
0-19.04%
0-21.69%
1-21.77%
0-30.21%
1-30.22%
2-30.12%