Newcastle Utd at Southampton

Updated

Newcastle United

43.9%26.2%29.9%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.43Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 0

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Leicester City-215
W 0-1 vs Bournemouth-290
W 2-3 vs Crystal Palace-175
W 2-1 at Tranmere Rovers
L 4-3 vs Burnley-115
Southampton
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Manchester City+850
W 1-2 vs Lincoln City-375
W 5-6 vs Sheffield Wednesday-180
W 3-0 at Cambridge United
L 3-4 at Chelsea+630

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-111-146-150-155-148-153-148-137.8
Southampton+335+469+460+485+473+485+485+490.0
Draw+252+269+245+270+287+265+287+298.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-135----185-155-155-137.8
Southampton+400---+430+475+475+490.0
Draw+260---+245+275+275+298.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Southampton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -138 to -145
Southampton ML moved from +488 to +475

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Southampton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -165 to -185
Southampton ML moved from +450 to +440

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+121o2¼-102o2¼+100o2½+133o2¼+100o2¼+100o2½+139
Underu2½-125u2½-143u2¼-118u2¼-120u2½-148u2¼-120u2½-143u2½-139
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100---o2½+115o2½+125o2½+125o2½+139
Underu2½-120---u2½-145u2½-145u2½-145u2½-139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.63%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 413.94%
Exactly 63.08%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.63%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 57.18%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 023.80%
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 311.73%
Exactly 44.21%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 032.04%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.37%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 051.45%
Exactly 134.19%
Exactly 211.36%
Exactly 32.52%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 059.04%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals21.12%
Wins by 3+ goals8.00%
Wins by 4+ goals2.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals11.83%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal22.68%
Wins by 2 goals13.11%
Wins by 3 goals5.57%
Wins by 4 goals1.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal17.98%
Wins by 2 goals8.24%
Wins by 3 goals2.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.37%7.63%
1.572.75%27.25%
2.547.49%52.51%
3.525.83%74.17%
4.511.89%88.11%
5.54.71%95.29%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.20%23.80%
1.542.04%57.96%
2.517.51%82.49%
3.55.78%94.22%
4.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.96%32.04%
1.531.49%68.51%
2.510.74%89.26%
3.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.63%30.37%
1.533.43%66.57%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.30%96.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Southampton
Score012345
0
7.63%
8.68%
4.94%
1.87%
0.53%
0.12%
1
10.95%
12.46%
7.09%
2.69%
0.77%
0.17%
2
7.86%
8.94%
5.09%
1.93%
0.55%
0.13%
3
3.76%
4.28%
2.44%
0.92%
0.26%
0.06%
4
1.35%
1.54%
0.87%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.39%
0.44%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-010.95%
2-07.86%
2-18.94%
3-03.76%
3-14.28%
3-22.44%
4-01.35%
4-11.54%
4-20.87%
4-30.33%
5-00.39%
5-10.44%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-07.63%
1-112.46%
2-25.09%
3-30.92%
Southampton
0-18.68%
0-24.94%
1-27.09%
0-31.87%
1-32.69%
2-31.93%
0-40.53%
1-40.77%
2-40.55%
3-40.26%
0-50.12%
1-50.17%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Southampton
Score0123
0
30.37%
16.01%
4.22%
0.74%
1
20.19%
10.64%
2.80%
0.49%
2
6.71%
3.54%
0.93%
0.16%
3
1.49%
0.78%
0.21%
0.04%
4
0.25%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-020.19%
2-06.71%
2-13.54%
3-01.49%
3-10.78%
3-20.21%
4-00.25%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-030.37%
1-110.64%
2-20.93%
Southampton
0-116.01%
0-24.22%
1-22.80%
0-30.74%
1-30.49%
2-30.16%