Manchester City at Southampton

Updated

Manchester City

81.4%12.1%6.5%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.87Projected Goals 0.72
0Final Score 2

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Liverpool-160
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-260
L 3-5 at West Ham United-235
W 1-6 vs Wycombe Wanderers
W 1-0 at Tottenham-220
Southampton
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Lincoln City-375
W 5-6 vs Sheffield Wednesday-180
W 3-0 at Cambridge United
L 3-4 at Chelsea+630
W 4-2 at Sheffield United-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-360-281-300-315-285-315-281-251.2
Southampton+825+867+725+850+846+850+867+879.1
Draw+460+403+390+440+429+440+440+447.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-400-----300-300-251.2
Southampton+1100----+850+850+879.1
Draw+500----+410+410+447.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -460 to -480
Southampton ML moved from +750 to +725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -450 to -465
Southampton ML moved from +950 to +850

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3+114o2¾-115-o3+116-o2¾-115o3+122
Underu3¼-122u3-134u2¾-105-u3-131-u3-131u3-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135---o3+110o3+120o3+120o3+122
Underu3+115---u3-140u3-140u3-140u3-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+115 to o3-135
The Under moved from u3+105 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.76%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 419.10%
Exactly 68.20%
Exactly 81.89%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.92%
Exactly 321.29%
Exactly 513.71%
Exactly 74.20%
Exactly 90.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 116.24%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 64.41%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 048.86%
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 212.53%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.98%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 46.03%
Exactly 60.55%
 
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 314.51%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 026.45%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 310.37%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 071.78%
Exactly 123.80%
Exactly 23.95%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals61.84%
Wins by 3+ goals40.31%
Wins by 4+ goals22.48%
Wins by 5+ goals10.81%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals1.61%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.43%
Wins by 2 goals21.53%
Wins by 3 goals17.83%
Wins by 4 goals11.68%
Wins by 5 goals6.30%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal4.83%
Wins by 2 goals1.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.24%2.76%
1.587.32%12.68%
2.569.53%30.47%
3.548.24%51.76%
4.529.14%70.86%
5.515.43%84.57%
6.57.24%92.76%
7.53.03%96.97%
8.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.10%21.90%
2.554.77%45.23%
3.532.43%67.57%
4.516.38%83.62%
5.57.16%92.84%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.14%48.86%
1.516.14%83.86%
2.53.61%96.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.02%18.98%
1.549.47%50.53%
2.523.27%76.73%
3.58.75%91.25%
4.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Southampton
Score0123
0
2.76%
1.98%
0.71%
0.17%
1
7.94%
5.68%
2.04%
0.49%
2
11.40%
8.16%
2.92%
0.70%
3
10.92%
7.82%
2.80%
0.67%
4
7.84%
5.61%
2.01%
0.48%
5
4.50%
3.23%
1.16%
0.28%
Manchester City
1-07.94%
2-011.40%
2-18.16%
3-010.92%
3-17.82%
3-22.80%
4-07.84%
4-15.61%
4-22.01%
4-30.48%
5-04.50%
5-13.23%
5-21.16%
5-30.28%
Draw
0-02.76%
1-15.68%
2-22.92%
3-30.67%
Southampton
0-11.98%
0-20.71%
1-22.04%
0-30.17%
1-30.49%
2-30.70%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Southampton
Score0123
0
18.98%
6.29%
1.04%
0.12%
1
25.25%
8.37%
1.39%
0.15%
2
16.79%
5.57%
0.92%
0.10%
3
7.44%
2.47%
0.41%
0.05%
4
2.48%
0.82%
0.14%
0.02%
5
0.66%
0.22%
0.04%
0.00%
6
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.25%
2-016.79%
2-15.57%
3-07.44%
3-12.47%
3-20.41%
4-02.48%
4-10.82%
4-20.14%
5-00.66%
5-10.22%
6-00.15%
Draw
0-018.98%
1-18.37%
2-20.92%
Southampton
0-16.29%
0-21.04%
1-21.39%
0-30.12%
1-30.15%
2-30.10%