Chelsea at Middlesbrough

Updated

Chelsea

66.9%19.7%13.4%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
2.08Projected Goals 0.80
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Newcastle United-150
W 0-2 vs Blackburn-875
W 0-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+120
W 1-2 vs AFC Wimbledon
L 0-2 at Manchester City+500
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 3-0 at Port Vale-125
W 3-2 at Exeter City-210
W 3-1 at Bolton Wanderers-130
W 3-2 at Huddersfield-105
L 1-0 vs Barnsley-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-168-192-200-215-215-215-192-186.2
Middlesbrough+460+536+500+570+570+570+570+603.0
Draw+327+344+340+360+360+360+360+382.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-170--200--220-210-200-186.2
Middlesbrough+465-+540-+455+560+560+603.0
Draw+310-+335-+285+350+350+382.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -204 to -210
Middlesbrough ML moved from +550 to +535

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -193 to -200
Middlesbrough ML moved from +540 to +520

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-106o3+114o2¾-108o2¾-107o2¾-107o2¾-107o2¾-107o2¾+103
Underu3-112u3-134u2¾-112u2¾-113u2¾-113u2¾-113u3-134u2¾-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100-o2½-140-o3+100o2½-140o2½-140o2¾+103
Underu3-120-u2½+120-u3-130u2½+120u3-130u2¾-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.61%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 416.09%
Exactly 64.45%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.17%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.27%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 012.55%
Exactly 126.04%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.70%
Exactly 49.71%
Exactly 54.03%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 044.75%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.47%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.36%
Exactly 223.43%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 310.42%
Exactly 50.93%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 038.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 068.91%
Exactly 125.66%
Exactly 24.78%
Exactly 30.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals42.34%
Wins by 3+ goals21.94%
Wins by 4+ goals9.44%
Wins by 5+ goals3.43%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals3.93%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Middlesbrough
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.49%
Wins by 2 goals20.40%
Wins by 3 goals12.50%
Wins by 4 goals6.01%
Wins by 5 goals2.37%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal9.49%
Wins by 2 goals3.06%
Wins by 3 goals0.72%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.39%5.61%
1.578.22%21.78%
2.554.94%45.06%
3.532.59%67.41%
4.516.50%83.50%
5.57.23%92.77%
6.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.45%12.55%
1.561.41%38.59%
2.534.38%65.62%
3.515.68%84.32%
4.55.98%94.02%
5.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.25%44.75%
1.519.27%80.73%
2.54.80%95.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.64%26.36%
1.538.50%61.50%
2.515.07%84.93%
3.54.65%95.35%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Middlesbrough
Score0123
0
5.61%
4.51%
1.82%
0.49%
1
11.65%
9.37%
3.77%
1.01%
2
12.09%
9.73%
3.91%
1.05%
3
8.37%
6.73%
2.71%
0.73%
4
4.34%
3.49%
1.40%
0.38%
5
1.80%
1.45%
0.58%
0.16%
Chelsea
1-011.65%
2-012.09%
2-19.73%
3-08.37%
3-16.73%
3-22.71%
4-04.34%
4-13.49%
4-21.40%
4-30.38%
5-01.80%
5-11.45%
5-20.58%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.61%
1-19.37%
2-23.91%
3-30.73%
Middlesbrough
0-14.51%
0-21.82%
1-23.77%
0-30.49%
1-31.01%
2-31.05%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Middlesbrough
Score0123
0
26.36%
9.81%
1.83%
0.23%
1
25.33%
9.43%
1.76%
0.22%
2
12.17%
4.53%
0.84%
0.10%
3
3.90%
1.45%
0.27%
0.03%
4
0.94%
0.35%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-025.33%
2-012.17%
2-14.53%
3-03.90%
3-11.45%
3-20.27%
4-00.94%
4-10.35%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-026.36%
1-19.43%
2-20.84%
Middlesbrough
0-19.81%
0-21.83%
1-21.76%
0-30.23%
1-30.22%
2-30.10%