Brighton at Chelsea

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

14.2%20.4%65.3%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.01
0Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 3-4 at Charlton Athletic-350
W 3-1 at Arsenal+250
W 3-0 at Forest Green Rovers-320
L 2-4 at Leicester City+265
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-310
Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-2 vs AFC Wimbledon
L 0-2 at Manchester City+500
L 11-10 vs Liverpool+270
W 1-0 at Tottenham+120
W 0-2 vs Tottenham-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+209+209+195+215+205+205+209+220.1
Chelsea+125+118+120+110+115+115+120+125.6
Draw+267+288+270+290+290+290+290+309.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+185---+170+200+200+220.1
Chelsea+130---+110+120+120+125.6
Draw+275---+255+265+265+309.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +215 to +209
Chelsea ML moved from +115 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +220 to +200
Chelsea ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+119o3-120o3-118o3-105o3-105o3-105o3-105o3+104
Underu3-141u3+102u3-102u3-115u3-115u3-115u3+102u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o3-115o3-120o3-115o3+104
Underu3-130---u3-115u3+100u3+100u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-118 to u3-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.97%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 415.69%
Exactly 64.15%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.83%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.84%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 044.47%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.60%
Exactly 33.94%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 013.43%
Exactly 126.96%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.11%
Exactly 49.09%
Exactly 53.65%
Exactly 61.22%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.12%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 068.72%
Exactly 125.78%
Exactly 24.84%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 039.47%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.05%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals4.20%
Wins by 3+ goals0.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals40.45%
Wins by 3+ goals20.41%
Wins by 4+ goals8.49%
Wins by 5+ goals2.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.83%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal10.00%
Wins by 2 goals3.26%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.78%
Wins by 2 goals20.05%
Wins by 3 goals11.92%
Wins by 4 goals5.55%
Wins by 5 goals2.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.67%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.03%5.97%
1.577.20%22.80%
2.553.48%46.52%
3.531.21%68.79%
4.515.51%84.49%
5.56.67%93.33%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.53%44.47%
1.519.49%80.51%
2.54.89%95.11%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.57%13.43%
1.559.61%40.39%
2.532.54%67.46%
3.514.43%85.57%
4.55.33%94.67%
5.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.88%27.12%
1.537.49%62.51%
2.514.40%85.60%
3.54.36%95.64%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Chelsea
Score012345
0
5.97%
11.99%
12.04%
8.06%
4.04%
1.62%
1
4.84%
9.72%
9.75%
6.53%
3.28%
1.32%
2
1.96%
3.94%
3.95%
2.64%
1.33%
0.53%
3
0.53%
1.06%
1.07%
0.71%
0.36%
0.14%
4
0.11%
0.22%
0.22%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-04.84%
2-01.96%
2-13.94%
3-00.53%
3-11.06%
3-21.07%
4-00.11%
4-10.22%
4-20.22%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-05.97%
1-19.72%
2-23.95%
3-30.71%
Chelsea
0-111.99%
0-212.04%
1-29.75%
0-38.06%
1-36.53%
2-32.64%
0-44.04%
1-43.28%
2-41.33%
3-40.36%
0-51.62%
1-51.32%
2-50.53%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Chelsea
Score012345
0
27.12%
25.21%
11.72%
3.63%
0.84%
0.16%
1
10.18%
9.46%
4.40%
1.36%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.91%
1.77%
0.82%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.22%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-010.18%
2-01.91%
2-11.77%
3-00.24%
3-10.22%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-027.12%
1-19.46%
2-20.82%
Chelsea
0-125.21%
0-211.72%
1-24.40%
0-33.63%
1-31.36%
2-30.26%
0-40.84%
1-40.32%
0-50.16%