Liverpool at Chelsea

Updated

Liverpool

31.1%27.2%41.7%
Liverpool WinDrawChelsea Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.33
11Final Score 10

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 2-0 at Arsenal+180
T 0-0 vs Arsenal-155
W 4-5 vs Leicester City+160
W 2-0 at Preston North End-230
W 3-0 at Norwich City-140
Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-0 at Tottenham+120
W 0-2 vs Tottenham-120
W 2-0 at Brentford+185
W 3-4 vs Southampton-230
W 3-4 vs Aston Villa-270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+140+110+113+122+112+113+122+121.0
Chelsea+210+260+270+263+248+270+270+282.3
Draw+205+240+235+239+231+238+240+249.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+135-+115-+115+110+115+121.0
Chelsea+225-+253-+205+270+270+282.3
Draw+215-+228-+200+230+230+249.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +125 to +115
Chelsea ML moved from +250 to +240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +130 to +122
Chelsea ML moved from +260 to +253

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2½-102o2½-105o2½-103-o2½-105o2½-102o2½+104
Underu2¼-112u2½-118u2½-115u2½-112-u2½-115u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120-o2½-105-o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+104
Underu2½-140-u2½-115-u2½-130u2½-120u2½-115u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.70%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 412.88%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.25%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 56.29%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 032.94%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 026.42%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.29%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.77%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 059.80%
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 27.90%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 053.99%
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 210.25%
Exactly 32.11%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals12.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals19.13%
Wins by 3+ goals6.85%
Wins by 4+ goals1.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal18.80%
Wins by 2 goals8.55%
Wins by 3 goals2.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal22.53%
Wins by 2 goals12.28%
Wins by 3 goals4.89%
Wins by 4 goals1.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.30%8.70%
1.570.05%29.95%
2.544.11%55.89%
3.523.00%77.00%
4.510.11%89.89%
5.53.82%96.18%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.06%32.94%
1.530.48%69.52%
2.510.17%89.83%
3.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.58%26.42%
1.538.41%61.59%
2.515.01%84.99%
3.54.63%95.37%
4.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.71%32.29%
1.531.21%68.79%
2.510.58%89.42%
3.52.80%97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Chelsea
Score012345
0
8.70%
11.58%
7.71%
3.42%
1.14%
0.30%
1
9.66%
12.86%
8.56%
3.80%
1.26%
0.34%
2
5.37%
7.14%
4.75%
2.11%
0.70%
0.19%
3
1.99%
2.64%
1.76%
0.78%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.55%
0.73%
0.49%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-09.66%
2-05.37%
2-17.14%
3-01.99%
3-12.64%
3-21.76%
4-00.55%
4-10.73%
4-20.49%
4-30.22%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.70%
1-112.86%
2-24.75%
3-30.78%
Chelsea
0-111.58%
0-27.71%
1-28.56%
0-33.42%
1-33.80%
2-32.11%
0-41.14%
1-41.26%
2-40.70%
3-40.26%
0-50.30%
1-50.34%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Chelsea
Score01234
0
32.29%
19.90%
6.13%
1.26%
0.19%
1
16.60%
10.23%
3.15%
0.65%
0.10%
2
4.27%
2.63%
0.81%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.73%
0.45%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-016.60%
2-04.27%
2-12.63%
3-00.73%
3-10.45%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-032.29%
1-110.23%
2-20.81%
Chelsea
0-119.90%
0-26.13%
1-23.15%
0-31.26%
1-30.65%
2-30.17%
0-40.19%