Crystal Palace at Aston Villa

Updated

Crystal Palace

20.9%24.1%55.0%
Crystal Palace WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.69
2Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers-280
W 0-4 vs Norwich City-360
L 0-3 at Manchester United+450
W 4-2 at Plymouth Argyle-260
L 2-3 at Newcastle United+370
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Wycombe Wanderers-210
L 2-1 vs Everton-125
L 2-4 at Manchester United+325
W 4-1 at Bolton Wanderers
L 3-4 at Chelsea+725

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+420+185+180+188+181+188+188+202.4
Aston Villa-155+153+145+153+148+153+153+165.7
Draw+265+240+220+225+238+225+240+241.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+390-+179-+280+190+280+202.4
Aston Villa-135-+150--130+150+150+165.7
Draw+265-+240-+235+225+240+241.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +230 to +174
Aston Villa ML moved from +122 to +110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Crystal Palace: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 90.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +205 to +190
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-124o2½-120o2¾+103o2¾-101o2¾+103o2½-120o2¾+112
Underu2½+100u2½+106u2½+100u2¾-123u2¾-121u2¾-123u2¾-121u2¾-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-120o2¾+112
Underu2½-105-u2½+100-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+100u2¾-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.22%
Exactly 224.94%
Exactly 414.36%
Exactly 63.31%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.97%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 57.55%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 039.03%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.27%
Exactly 35.42%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 018.49%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 226.34%
Exactly 314.82%
Exactly 46.25%
Exactly 52.11%
Exactly 60.59%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.61%
Exactly 221.93%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 38.90%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 064.69%
Exactly 128.18%
Exactly 26.14%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 045.77%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 213.98%
Exactly 33.64%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals7.07%
Wins by 3+ goals1.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals30.14%
Wins by 3+ goals13.21%
Wins by 4+ goals4.73%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal13.81%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.78%
Wins by 2 goals16.93%
Wins by 3 goals8.48%
Wins by 4 goals3.33%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.78%7.22%
1.573.81%26.19%
2.548.88%51.12%
3.527.03%72.97%
4.512.67%87.33%
5.55.12%94.88%
6.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.97%39.03%
1.524.25%75.75%
2.56.97%93.03%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.51%18.49%
1.550.30%49.70%
2.523.96%76.04%
3.59.14%90.86%
4.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.39%29.61%
1.534.35%65.65%
2.512.42%87.58%
3.53.53%96.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.22%
12.18%
10.28%
5.78%
2.44%
0.82%
1
6.79%
11.46%
9.67%
5.44%
2.30%
0.78%
2
3.19%
5.39%
4.55%
2.56%
1.08%
0.36%
3
1.00%
1.69%
1.43%
0.80%
0.34%
0.11%
4
0.24%
0.40%
0.34%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Crystal Palace
1-06.79%
2-03.19%
2-15.39%
3-01.00%
3-11.69%
3-21.43%
4-00.24%
4-10.40%
4-20.34%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.22%
1-111.46%
2-24.55%
3-30.80%
Aston Villa
0-112.18%
0-210.28%
1-29.67%
0-35.78%
1-35.44%
2-32.56%
0-42.44%
1-42.30%
2-41.08%
3-40.34%
0-50.82%
1-50.78%
2-50.36%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.61%
23.14%
9.04%
2.36%
0.46%
1
12.90%
10.08%
3.94%
1.03%
0.20%
2
2.81%
2.20%
0.86%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.41%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Crystal Palace
1-012.90%
2-02.81%
2-12.20%
3-00.41%
3-10.32%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.61%
1-110.08%
2-20.86%
Aston Villa
0-123.14%
0-29.04%
1-23.94%
0-32.36%
1-31.03%
2-30.22%
0-40.46%
1-40.20%