Middlesbrough at Leeds United

Updated

Middlesbrough

15.7%20.2%64.0%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.92Projected Goals 2.07
3Final Score 0

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 1-6 at Chelsea+1450
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+560
W 3-0 at Port Vale-125
W 3-2 at Exeter City-210
W 3-1 at Bolton Wanderers-130
Leeds United
Money Line
L 8-9 at Salford City-315
W 1-2 vs Shrewsbury Town
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+340
W 1-3 vs Barnsley
L 0-2 at Arsenal+345

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+420-+420+345+380+345+420+399.0
Leeds United-175--195-200-222-200-195-146.6
Draw+310-+360+335+350+335+360+387.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+400---+450-+450+399.0
Leeds United-200----275--275-146.6
Draw+285---+370-+370+387.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 40.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +380 to +345
Leeds United ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 70.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Leeds United ML moved from -200 to -275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102-o3¼-120o3¼-114o3¼-116o3¼-114o3¼-114o3¼-104
Underu3-118-u3¼+100u3¼-106u3¼-104u3¼-106u3¼+100u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-135-o3-135o3¼-104
Underu3-125---u3+105-u3+105u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3-135
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.01%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 416.77%
Exactly 65.01%
Exactly 80.80%
 
Exactly 115.00%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.04%
Exactly 72.14%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 039.88%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.85%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 012.57%
Exactly 126.07%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.69%
Exactly 49.69%
Exactly 54.02%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.01%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 43.84%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 311.10%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 065.33%
Exactly 127.81%
Exactly 25.92%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 038.28%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals5.08%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals40.00%
Wins by 3+ goals20.51%
Wins by 4+ goals8.75%
Wins by 5+ goals3.16%
Wins by 6+ goals0.97%
Wins by 7+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Leeds United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal10.64%
Wins by 2 goals3.83%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals19.49%
Wins by 3 goals11.76%
Wins by 4 goals5.59%
Wins by 5 goals2.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.99%5.01%
1.579.99%20.01%
2.557.53%42.47%
3.535.13%64.87%
4.518.36%81.64%
5.58.32%91.68%
6.53.32%96.68%
7.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.12%39.88%
1.523.46%76.54%
2.56.61%93.39%
3.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.43%12.57%
1.561.37%38.63%
2.534.33%65.67%
3.515.65%84.35%
4.55.96%94.04%
5.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.99%25.01%
1.540.33%59.67%
2.516.31%83.69%
3.55.22%94.78%
4.51.37%98.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Leeds United
Score012345
0
5.01%
10.39%
10.78%
7.45%
3.86%
1.60%
1
4.61%
9.56%
9.91%
6.85%
3.55%
1.47%
2
2.12%
4.39%
4.56%
3.15%
1.63%
0.68%
3
0.65%
1.35%
1.40%
0.97%
0.50%
0.21%
4
0.15%
0.31%
0.32%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
Middlesbrough
1-04.61%
2-02.12%
2-14.39%
3-00.65%
3-11.35%
3-21.40%
4-00.15%
4-10.31%
4-20.32%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-05.01%
1-19.56%
2-24.56%
3-30.97%
4-40.12%
Leeds United
0-110.39%
0-210.78%
1-29.91%
0-37.45%
1-36.85%
2-33.15%
0-43.86%
1-43.55%
2-41.63%
3-40.50%
0-51.60%
1-51.47%
2-50.68%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Leeds United
Score012345
0
25.01%
24.02%
11.53%
3.69%
0.89%
0.17%
1
10.65%
10.22%
4.91%
1.57%
0.38%
0.07%
2
2.27%
2.18%
1.04%
0.33%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.32%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-010.65%
2-02.27%
2-12.18%
3-00.32%
3-10.31%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-025.01%
1-110.22%
2-21.04%
Leeds United
0-124.02%
0-211.53%
1-24.91%
0-33.69%
1-31.57%
2-30.33%
0-40.89%
1-40.38%
0-50.17%