Sunderland at Watford

Updated

Sunderland

15.5%21.9%62.6%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.86
2Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Sunderland
Money Line
W 3-0 at Reading+185
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough+340
W 0-3 vs Rotherham United+115
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+220
W 1-0 at Stoke City+240
Watford
Money Line
L 0-2 at Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Rotherham United+115
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+155
L 3-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
T 0-0 at Preston North End+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sunderland+360+292+285+325+286+325+325+334.5
Watford-128+102+100-110-105-110+102+106.5
Draw+284+245+225+250+247+250+250+250.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sunderland+290---+265+280+280+334.5
Watford-140----120+100+100+106.5
Draw+245---+220+245+245+250.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sunderland: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sunderland: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sunderland ML moved from +255 to +240
Watford ML moved from +103 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sunderland: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sunderland: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sunderland ML moved from +290 to +240
Watford ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½+108o2¼-118o2¼-118-o2¼-118o2¼-118o2½+122
Underu2½-102u2½-128u2¼-102u2¼-102-u2¼-102u2½-128u2½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+122
Under-----u2½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.99%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 414.60%
Exactly 63.45%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.59%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.77%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 045.01%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.34%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 015.52%
Exactly 128.91%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 316.73%
Exactly 47.79%
Exactly 52.90%
Exactly 60.90%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.16%
Exactly 222.14%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 39.09%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 069.10%
Exactly 125.54%
Exactly 24.72%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 042.20%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.70%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals4.57%
Wins by 3+ goals1.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals37.11%
Wins by 3+ goals17.74%
Wins by 4+ goals6.95%
Wins by 5+ goals2.27%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Sunderland
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal10.89%
Wins by 2 goals3.55%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.41%
Wins by 2 goals19.37%
Wins by 3 goals10.78%
Wins by 4 goals4.69%
Wins by 5 goals1.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.01%6.99%
1.574.42%25.58%
2.549.69%50.31%
3.527.74%72.26%
4.513.14%86.86%
5.55.37%94.63%
6.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.99%45.01%
1.519.06%80.94%
2.54.72%95.28%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.48%15.52%
1.555.57%44.43%
2.528.63%71.37%
3.511.91%88.09%
4.54.12%95.88%
5.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.84%29.16%
1.534.90%65.10%
2.512.76%87.24%
3.53.66%96.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sunderland
Watford
Score012345
0
6.99%
13.01%
12.12%
7.53%
3.51%
1.31%
1
5.58%
10.39%
9.68%
6.01%
2.80%
1.04%
2
2.23%
4.15%
3.86%
2.40%
1.12%
0.42%
3
0.59%
1.10%
1.03%
0.64%
0.30%
0.11%
4
0.12%
0.22%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Sunderland
1-05.58%
2-02.23%
2-14.15%
3-00.59%
3-11.10%
3-21.03%
4-00.12%
4-10.22%
4-20.21%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-06.99%
1-110.39%
2-23.86%
3-30.64%
Watford
0-113.01%
0-212.12%
1-29.68%
0-37.53%
1-36.01%
2-32.40%
0-43.51%
1-42.80%
2-41.12%
3-40.30%
0-51.31%
1-51.04%
2-50.42%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Sunderland
Watford
Score012345
0
29.16%
25.16%
10.85%
3.12%
0.67%
0.12%
1
10.78%
9.30%
4.01%
1.15%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.99%
1.72%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sunderland
1-010.78%
2-01.99%
2-11.72%
3-00.25%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-029.16%
1-19.30%
2-20.74%
Watford
0-125.16%
0-210.85%
1-24.01%
0-33.12%
1-31.15%
2-30.21%
0-40.67%
1-40.25%
0-50.12%