Middlesbrough at Watford

Updated

Middlesbrough

23.3%26.1%50.6%
Middlesbrough WinDrawWatford Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.50
1Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Swansea City-140
L 0-1 at Reading+100
T 2-2 at Stoke City+170
T 2-2 vs Sheffield United+130
L 2-3 at Queens Park Rangers+135
Watford
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
T 0-0 at Preston North End+230
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+110
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+244+216+205+182+196+192+217+244.8
Watford+123+145+140+151+143+144+145+151.4
Draw+232+217+205+205+221+205+221+220.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+195---+180+190+190+244.8
Watford+150---+130+155+155+151.4
Draw+220---+200+220+220+220.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +186 to +176
Watford ML moved from +151 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +200 to +190
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+113o2-141o2¼+100o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2-141o2½+140
Underu2½-133u2+119u2¼-120u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2+125u2½-140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+140
Under-----u2½-140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.80%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 412.79%
Exactly 62.52%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.39%
Exactly 321.05%
Exactly 56.22%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 039.52%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 022.27%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 312.57%
Exactly 44.72%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.46%
Exactly 220.55%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.71%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 065.06%
Exactly 127.97%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 049.89%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.06%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals7.93%
Wins by 3+ goals2.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals25.66%
Wins by 3+ goals10.24%
Wins by 4+ goals3.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.83%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal15.36%
Wins by 2 goals5.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.84%
Wins by 2 goals15.42%
Wins by 3 goals6.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.20%8.80%
1.569.81%30.19%
2.543.82%56.18%
3.522.76%77.24%
4.59.97%90.03%
5.53.75%96.25%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.48%39.52%
1.523.79%76.21%
2.56.76%93.24%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.73%22.27%
1.544.28%55.72%
2.519.16%80.84%
3.56.59%93.41%
4.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.54%32.46%
1.531.02%68.98%
2.510.47%89.53%
3.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Watford
Score012345
0
8.80%
13.22%
9.93%
4.97%
1.87%
0.56%
1
8.17%
12.27%
9.22%
4.61%
1.73%
0.52%
2
3.79%
5.70%
4.28%
2.14%
0.80%
0.24%
3
1.17%
1.76%
1.32%
0.66%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.27%
0.41%
0.31%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Middlesbrough
1-08.17%
2-03.79%
2-15.70%
3-01.17%
3-11.76%
3-21.32%
4-00.27%
4-10.41%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.80%
1-112.27%
2-24.28%
3-30.66%
Watford
0-113.22%
0-29.93%
1-29.22%
0-34.97%
1-34.61%
2-32.14%
0-41.87%
1-41.73%
2-40.80%
3-40.25%
0-50.56%
1-50.52%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Watford
Score01234
0
32.46%
22.57%
7.85%
1.82%
0.32%
1
13.95%
9.70%
3.37%
0.78%
0.14%
2
3.00%
2.09%
0.72%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.43%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-013.95%
2-03.00%
2-12.09%
3-00.43%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-032.46%
1-19.70%
2-20.72%
Watford
0-122.57%
0-27.85%
1-23.37%
0-31.82%
1-30.78%
2-30.17%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%
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