Middlesbrough at Watford

Updated

Middlesbrough

23.3%26.1%50.6%
Middlesbrough WinDrawWatford Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.50
1Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Swansea City-140
L 0-1 at Reading+100
T 2-2 at Stoke City+170
T 2-2 vs Sheffield United+130
L 2-3 at Queens Park Rangers+135
Watford
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
T 0-0 at Preston North End+230
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+110
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+244+216+205+182+196+192+217+244.8
Watford+123+145+140+151+143+144+145+151.4
Draw+232+217+205+205+221+205+221+220.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+195---+180+190+190+244.8
Watford+150---+130+155+155+151.4
Draw+220---+200+220+220+220.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +186 to +176
Watford ML moved from +151 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +200 to +190
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+113o2-141o2¼+100o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2-141o2½+140
Underu2½-133u2+119u2¼-120u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2+125u2½-140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+140
Under-----u2½-140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.80%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 412.79%
Exactly 62.52%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.39%
Exactly 321.05%
Exactly 56.22%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 039.52%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 022.27%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 312.57%
Exactly 44.72%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.46%
Exactly 220.55%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.71%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 065.06%
Exactly 127.97%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 049.89%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.06%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals7.93%
Wins by 3+ goals2.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals25.66%
Wins by 3+ goals10.24%
Wins by 4+ goals3.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.83%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal15.36%
Wins by 2 goals5.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.84%
Wins by 2 goals15.42%
Wins by 3 goals6.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.20%8.80%
1.569.81%30.19%
2.543.82%56.18%
3.522.76%77.24%
4.59.97%90.03%
5.53.75%96.25%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.48%39.52%
1.523.79%76.21%
2.56.76%93.24%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.73%22.27%
1.544.28%55.72%
2.519.16%80.84%
3.56.59%93.41%
4.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.54%32.46%
1.531.02%68.98%
2.510.47%89.53%
3.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Watford
Score012345
0
8.80%
13.22%
9.93%
4.97%
1.87%
0.56%
1
8.17%
12.27%
9.22%
4.61%
1.73%
0.52%
2
3.79%
5.70%
4.28%
2.14%
0.80%
0.24%
3
1.17%
1.76%
1.32%
0.66%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.27%
0.41%
0.31%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Middlesbrough
1-08.17%
2-03.79%
2-15.70%
3-01.17%
3-11.76%
3-21.32%
4-00.27%
4-10.41%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.80%
1-112.27%
2-24.28%
3-30.66%
Watford
0-113.22%
0-29.93%
1-29.22%
0-34.97%
1-34.61%
2-32.14%
0-41.87%
1-41.73%
2-40.80%
3-40.25%
0-50.56%
1-50.52%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Watford
Score01234
0
32.46%
22.57%
7.85%
1.82%
0.32%
1
13.95%
9.70%
3.37%
0.78%
0.14%
2
3.00%
2.09%
0.72%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.43%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-013.95%
2-03.00%
2-12.09%
3-00.43%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-032.46%
1-19.70%
2-20.72%
Watford
0-122.57%
0-27.85%
1-23.37%
0-31.82%
1-30.78%
2-30.17%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%