Middlesbrough at Stoke City

Updated

Middlesbrough

26.0%26.9%47.1%
Middlesbrough WinDrawStoke City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.42
2Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Sheffield United+130
L 2-3 at Queens Park Rangers+135
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+125
L 1-4 at Preston North End-135
W 1-3 vs Stoke City-145
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-3 at Huddersfield+150
W 0-2 vs Blackpool+105
L 0-2 at Millwall+220
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+115
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+174+174+175+175+161+175+175+186.1
Stoke City+171+179+170+175+172+175+179+193.3
Draw+226+216+200+210+222+210+222+223.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+180---+150+170+170+186.1
Stoke City+155---+160+180+180+193.3
Draw+230---+190+210+210+223.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +175 to +169
Stoke City ML moved from +177 to +169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +155 to +140
Stoke City ML moved from +190 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+117o2¼-112o2¼-106-o2¼-106o2¼-106o2-140
Underu2½-134u2½-137u2¼-108u2¼-114-u2¼-114u2½-137u2+140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-140
Under-----u2+140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.10%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 412.52%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.81%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 56.00%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 037.53%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.02%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 024.24%
Exactly 134.35%
Exactly 224.34%
Exactly 311.50%
Exactly 44.07%
Exactly 51.15%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.96%
Exactly 220.30%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 063.53%
Exactly 128.82%
Exactly 26.54%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 051.89%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 211.17%
Exactly 32.44%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals9.28%
Wins by 3+ goals2.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals22.85%
Wins by 3+ goals8.68%
Wins by 4+ goals2.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal16.72%
Wins by 2 goals6.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals14.17%
Wins by 3 goals6.04%
Wins by 4 goals2.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.90%9.10%
1.569.09%30.91%
2.542.95%57.05%
3.522.07%77.93%
4.59.55%90.45%
5.53.55%96.45%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.47%37.53%
1.525.69%74.31%
2.57.67%92.33%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.76%24.24%
1.541.41%58.59%
2.517.07%82.93%
3.55.57%94.43%
4.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.04%32.96%
1.530.46%69.54%
2.510.16%89.84%
3.52.65%97.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Score012345
0
9.10%
12.89%
9.14%
4.32%
1.53%
0.43%
1
8.92%
12.64%
8.95%
4.23%
1.50%
0.42%
2
4.37%
6.19%
4.39%
2.07%
0.73%
0.21%
3
1.43%
2.02%
1.43%
0.68%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.35%
0.50%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Middlesbrough
1-08.92%
2-04.37%
2-16.19%
3-01.43%
3-12.02%
3-21.43%
4-00.35%
4-10.50%
4-20.35%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.10%
1-112.64%
2-24.39%
3-30.68%
Stoke City
0-112.89%
0-29.14%
1-28.95%
0-34.32%
1-34.23%
2-32.07%
0-41.53%
1-41.50%
2-40.73%
3-40.24%
0-50.43%
1-50.42%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Score01234
0
32.96%
21.63%
7.09%
1.55%
0.25%
1
14.96%
9.81%
3.22%
0.70%
0.12%
2
3.39%
2.23%
0.73%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.51%
0.34%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-014.96%
2-03.39%
2-12.23%
3-00.51%
3-10.34%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.96%
1-19.81%
2-20.73%
Stoke City
0-121.63%
0-27.09%
1-23.22%
0-31.55%
1-30.70%
2-30.16%
0-40.25%
1-40.12%
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