Stoke City at Millwall

Updated

Stoke City

25.9%27.5%46.5%
Stoke City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.36
0Final Score 2

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+115
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+380
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+105
W 1-0 at Blackburn+295
L 1-0 vs Bristol City-145
Millwall
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bournemouth+305
W 0-3 vs Peterborough United-225
T 2-2 at Birmingham City+110
W 1-2 vs Hull City-125
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210+215+210+189+228+210+189+229+236.7
Millwall+130+147+140+138+148+138+138+147+154.6
Draw+225+215+200+220+214+218+220+234+222.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210---+200+220+220+236.7
Millwall+105---+110+135+135+154.6
Draw+210---+215+220+220+222.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +221 to +215
Millwall ML moved from +135 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2-125o2-120-o2½+153--o2-139o2½+159
Underu2¼-110u2+107u2+100-u2½-168--u2½-148u2½-159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120---o2½+115-o2½+115o2½+159
Underu2½-150---u2½-145-u2½-145u2½-159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-135 to o2½+115
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.97%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 411.74%
Exactly 62.08%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.99%
Exactly 320.36%
Exactly 55.41%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.96%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.31%
Exactly 35.44%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 025.60%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.39%
Exactly 219.59%
Exactly 41.86%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.97%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.63%
Exactly 128.21%
Exactly 26.16%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 053.21%
Exactly 133.57%
Exactly 210.59%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals9.03%
Wins by 3+ goals2.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals22.06%
Wins by 3+ goals8.15%
Wins by 4+ goals2.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.88%
Wins by 2 goals6.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals13.92%
Wins by 3 goals5.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.03%9.97%
1.567.04%32.96%
2.540.54%59.46%
3.520.17%79.83%
4.58.44%91.56%
5.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.04%38.96%
1.524.32%75.68%
2.57.01%92.99%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.40%25.60%
1.539.52%60.48%
2.515.76%84.24%
3.54.96%95.04%
4.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.61%34.39%
1.528.90%71.10%
2.59.31%90.69%
3.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Millwall
Score012345
0
9.97%
13.59%
9.26%
4.21%
1.43%
0.39%
1
9.40%
12.81%
8.73%
3.96%
1.35%
0.37%
2
4.43%
6.04%
4.11%
1.87%
0.64%
0.17%
3
1.39%
1.90%
1.29%
0.59%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.33%
0.45%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-09.40%
2-04.43%
2-16.04%
3-01.39%
3-11.90%
3-21.29%
4-00.33%
4-10.45%
4-20.30%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.97%
1-112.81%
2-24.11%
3-30.59%
Millwall
0-113.59%
0-29.26%
1-28.73%
0-34.21%
1-33.96%
2-31.87%
0-41.43%
1-41.35%
2-40.64%
3-40.20%
0-50.39%
1-50.37%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Millwall
Score01234
0
34.39%
21.70%
6.85%
1.44%
0.23%
1
15.01%
9.47%
2.99%
0.63%
0.10%
2
3.28%
2.07%
0.65%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-015.01%
2-03.28%
2-12.07%
3-00.48%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-034.39%
1-19.47%
2-20.65%
Millwall
0-121.70%
0-26.85%
1-22.99%
0-31.44%
1-30.63%
2-30.14%
0-40.23%
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