Stoke City at Millwall

Updated

Stoke City

25.9%27.5%46.5%
Stoke City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.36
0Final Score 2

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+115
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+380
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+105
W 1-0 at Blackburn+295
L 1-0 vs Bristol City-145
Millwall
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bournemouth+305
W 0-3 vs Peterborough United-225
T 2-2 at Birmingham City+110
W 1-2 vs Hull City-125
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210+215+210+189+228+210+189+229+236.7
Millwall+130+147+140+138+148+138+138+147+154.6
Draw+225+215+200+220+214+218+220+234+222.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210---+200+220+220+236.7
Millwall+105---+110+135+135+154.6
Draw+210---+215+220+220+222.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +221 to +215
Millwall ML moved from +135 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2-125o2-120-o2½+153--o2-139o2½+159
Underu2¼-110u2+107u2+100-u2½-168--u2½-148u2½-159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120---o2½+115-o2½+115o2½+159
Underu2½-150---u2½-145-u2½-145u2½-159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-135 to o2½+115
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.97%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 411.74%
Exactly 62.08%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.99%
Exactly 320.36%
Exactly 55.41%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.96%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.31%
Exactly 35.44%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 025.60%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.39%
Exactly 219.59%
Exactly 41.86%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.97%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.63%
Exactly 128.21%
Exactly 26.16%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 053.21%
Exactly 133.57%
Exactly 210.59%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals9.03%
Wins by 3+ goals2.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals22.06%
Wins by 3+ goals8.15%
Wins by 4+ goals2.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.88%
Wins by 2 goals6.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals13.92%
Wins by 3 goals5.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.03%9.97%
1.567.04%32.96%
2.540.54%59.46%
3.520.17%79.83%
4.58.44%91.56%
5.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.04%38.96%
1.524.32%75.68%
2.57.01%92.99%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.40%25.60%
1.539.52%60.48%
2.515.76%84.24%
3.54.96%95.04%
4.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.61%34.39%
1.528.90%71.10%
2.59.31%90.69%
3.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Millwall
Score012345
0
9.97%
13.59%
9.26%
4.21%
1.43%
0.39%
1
9.40%
12.81%
8.73%
3.96%
1.35%
0.37%
2
4.43%
6.04%
4.11%
1.87%
0.64%
0.17%
3
1.39%
1.90%
1.29%
0.59%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.33%
0.45%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-09.40%
2-04.43%
2-16.04%
3-01.39%
3-11.90%
3-21.29%
4-00.33%
4-10.45%
4-20.30%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.97%
1-112.81%
2-24.11%
3-30.59%
Millwall
0-113.59%
0-29.26%
1-28.73%
0-34.21%
1-33.96%
2-31.87%
0-41.43%
1-41.35%
2-40.64%
3-40.20%
0-50.39%
1-50.37%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Millwall
Score01234
0
34.39%
21.70%
6.85%
1.44%
0.23%
1
15.01%
9.47%
2.99%
0.63%
0.10%
2
3.28%
2.07%
0.65%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-015.01%
2-03.28%
2-12.07%
3-00.48%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-034.39%
1-19.47%
2-20.65%
Millwall
0-121.70%
0-26.85%
1-22.99%
0-31.44%
1-30.63%
2-30.14%
0-40.23%