Millwall at Birmingham City

Updated

Millwall

37.0%29.8%33.2%
Millwall WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 2

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Hull City-125
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225
W 1-4 vs Barnsley-140
L 1-0 vs Swansea City+110
T 2-2 at Luton Town+275
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 1-6 at Blackpool+260
L 4-2 vs Coventry City+250
L 0-2 at Nottingham Forest+450
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+315
T 0-0 at Swansea City+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+150+115+114+117+113+114+117+125.1
Birmingham City+195+265+225+267+248+225+267+270.6
Draw+205+205+230+243+231+230+243+249.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+105---+105+110+110+125.1
Birmingham City+215---+215+255+255+270.6
Draw+205---+205+240+240+249.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +116 to +110
Birmingham City ML moved from +259 to +252

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +120 to +110
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2¼-102o2¼+102o2½+130-o2¼+102o2¼+102o2½+138
Underu2¼-122u2¼-118u2¼-122u2½-145-u2¼-122u2½-145u2½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110---o2½+115-o2½+115o2½+138
Underu2½-140---u2½-145-u2½-145u2½-138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.07%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.05%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.52%
Exactly 319.02%
Exactly 54.25%
Exactly 70.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 033.51%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.03%
Exactly 37.30%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 036.03%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.57%
Exactly 218.00%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 060.28%
Exactly 130.51%
Exactly 27.72%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 062.34%
Exactly 129.46%
Exactly 26.96%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals14.79%
Wins by 3+ goals4.48%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals12.57%
Wins by 3+ goals3.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal22.07%
Wins by 2 goals10.30%
Wins by 3 goals3.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal20.61%
Wins by 2 goals8.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.93%12.07%
1.562.40%37.60%
2.535.42%64.58%
3.516.40%83.60%
4.56.35%93.65%
5.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.49%33.51%
1.529.85%70.15%
2.59.83%90.17%
3.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.97%36.03%
1.527.19%72.81%
2.58.42%91.58%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.43%37.57%
1.525.65%74.35%
2.57.65%92.35%
3.51.77%98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
12.07%
12.32%
6.29%
2.14%
0.55%
0.11%
1
13.20%
13.48%
6.88%
2.34%
0.60%
0.12%
2
7.22%
7.37%
3.76%
1.28%
0.33%
0.07%
3
2.63%
2.68%
1.37%
0.47%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.72%
0.73%
0.37%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-013.20%
2-07.22%
2-17.37%
3-02.63%
3-12.68%
3-21.37%
4-00.72%
4-10.73%
4-20.37%
4-30.13%
5-00.16%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-012.07%
1-113.48%
2-23.76%
3-30.47%
Birmingham City
0-112.32%
0-26.29%
1-26.88%
0-32.14%
1-32.34%
2-31.28%
0-40.55%
1-40.60%
2-40.33%
3-40.12%
0-50.11%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
37.57%
17.76%
4.20%
0.66%
1
19.02%
8.99%
2.12%
0.33%
2
4.81%
2.28%
0.54%
0.08%
3
0.81%
0.38%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-019.02%
2-04.81%
2-12.28%
3-00.81%
3-10.38%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-037.57%
1-18.99%
2-20.54%
Birmingham City
0-117.76%
0-24.20%
1-22.12%
0-30.66%
1-30.33%
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