Millwall at Luton Town

Updated

Millwall

25.7%27.1%47.2%
Millwall WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.40
2Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 0-2 at Stoke City+240
W 0-2 vs Huddersfield+135
T 0-0 vs Middlesbrough+205
T 0-0 at Blackburn+290
W 1-0 at Reading+150
Luton Town
Money Line
W 3-1 at Hull City+160
W 0-4 vs Preston North End+135
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+125
W 1-0 at Coventry City+270
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+254+275+245+291+265+245+291+287.9
Luton Town+113+120+119+123+119+119+123+129.0
Draw+223+190+200+209+206+200+209+227.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+245---+225+275+275+287.9
Luton Town+120---+105+110+110+129.0
Draw+225---+200+225+225+227.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +289 to +283
Luton Town ML moved from +120 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-110o2-112o2-111-o2-112o2-110o2-104
Underu2¼-122u2-110u2-108u2-104-u2-108u2-104u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.45%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 412.20%
Exactly 62.26%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.29%
Exactly 320.68%
Exactly 55.76%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 038.39%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 024.62%
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 311.30%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.54%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 41.99%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.29%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 064.19%
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 052.26%
Exactly 133.91%
Exactly 211.01%
Exactly 32.38%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals9.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals22.80%
Wins by 3+ goals8.60%
Wins by 4+ goals2.59%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal16.64%
Wins by 2 goals6.62%
Wins by 3 goals1.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal24.36%
Wins by 2 goals14.20%
Wins by 3 goals6.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.55%9.45%
1.568.26%31.74%
2.541.96%58.04%
3.521.28%78.72%
4.59.08%90.92%
5.53.33%96.67%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.61%38.39%
1.524.86%75.14%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.38%24.62%
1.540.88%59.12%
2.516.69%83.31%
3.55.39%94.61%
4.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.46%33.54%
1.529.82%70.18%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Luton Town
Score012345
0
9.45%
13.25%
9.28%
4.34%
1.52%
0.43%
1
9.05%
12.68%
8.89%
4.15%
1.46%
0.41%
2
4.33%
6.07%
4.26%
1.99%
0.70%
0.20%
3
1.38%
1.94%
1.36%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.33%
0.46%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Millwall
1-09.05%
2-04.33%
2-16.07%
3-01.38%
3-11.94%
3-21.36%
4-00.33%
4-10.46%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.45%
1-112.68%
2-24.26%
3-30.63%
Luton Town
0-113.25%
0-29.28%
1-28.89%
0-34.34%
1-34.15%
2-31.99%
0-41.52%
1-41.46%
2-40.70%
3-40.22%
0-50.43%
1-50.41%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Luton Town
Score01234
0
33.54%
21.77%
7.06%
1.53%
0.25%
1
14.87%
9.65%
3.13%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.30%
2.14%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.87%
2-03.30%
2-12.14%
3-00.49%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.54%
1-19.65%
2-20.69%
Luton Town
0-121.77%
0-27.06%
1-23.13%
0-31.53%
1-30.68%
2-30.15%
0-40.25%
1-40.11%
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