Millwall at Stoke City

Updated

Millwall

21.7%25.5%52.8%
Millwall WinDrawStoke City Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.55
0Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Huddersfield+135
T 0-0 vs Middlesbrough+205
T 0-0 at Blackburn+290
W 1-0 at Reading+150
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+250
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+190
T 2-2 at Peterborough United+105
T 1-1 at Barnsley+160
L 1-0 vs Blackpool-105
L 1-2 at Bournemouth+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+230+240+235+242+212+235+242+258.5
Stoke City+125+130+126+136+139+126+136+142.5
Draw+215+190+197+209+212+197+212+224.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+220---+200+240+240+258.5
Stoke City+135---+115+130+130+142.5
Draw+220---+205+210+210+224.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +250 to +240
Stoke City ML moved from +143 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-110o2-106o2-106-o2-106o2-106o2+100
Underu2¼-102u2-110u2-114u2-109-u2-114u2-109u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.63%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 412.96%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.14%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.35%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 040.83%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.38%
Exactly 34.89%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 021.12%
Exactly 132.84%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 313.23%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 51.60%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.16%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 066.05%
Exactly 127.39%
Exactly 25.68%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 048.68%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.61%
Exactly 33.03%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals7.15%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals27.48%
Wins by 3+ goals11.29%
Wins by 4+ goals3.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.97%
Wins by 6+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal14.51%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals16.19%
Wins by 3 goals7.57%
Wins by 4 goals2.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.37%8.63%
1.570.24%29.76%
2.544.34%55.66%
3.523.19%76.81%
4.510.23%89.77%
5.53.88%96.12%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.17%40.83%
1.522.59%77.41%
2.56.22%93.78%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.88%21.12%
1.546.03%53.97%
2.520.50%79.50%
3.57.27%92.73%
4.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.84%32.16%
1.531.36%68.64%
2.510.66%89.34%
3.52.84%97.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Stoke City
Score012345
0
8.63%
13.41%
10.42%
5.40%
2.10%
0.65%
1
7.73%
12.01%
9.34%
4.84%
1.88%
0.58%
2
3.46%
5.38%
4.18%
2.17%
0.84%
0.26%
3
1.03%
1.61%
1.25%
0.65%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.23%
0.36%
0.28%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Millwall
1-07.73%
2-03.46%
2-15.38%
3-01.03%
3-11.61%
3-21.25%
4-00.23%
4-10.36%
4-20.28%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.63%
1-112.01%
2-24.18%
3-30.65%
Stoke City
0-113.41%
0-210.42%
1-29.34%
0-35.40%
1-34.84%
2-32.17%
0-42.10%
1-41.88%
2-40.84%
3-40.25%
0-50.65%
1-50.58%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Stoke City
Score01234
0
32.16%
23.15%
8.33%
2.00%
0.36%
1
13.34%
9.60%
3.46%
0.83%
0.15%
2
2.77%
1.99%
0.72%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.38%
0.28%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-013.34%
2-02.77%
2-11.99%
3-00.38%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-032.16%
1-19.60%
2-20.72%
Stoke City
0-123.15%
0-28.33%
1-23.46%
0-32.00%
1-30.83%
2-30.17%
0-40.36%
1-40.15%
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