Stoke City at Cardiff City

Updated

Stoke City

31.0%27.3%41.7%
Stoke City WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 2

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Peterborough United+105
T 1-1 at Barnsley+160
L 1-0 vs Blackpool-105
L 1-2 at Bournemouth+400
L 2-1 vs Luton Town+110
Cardiff City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+150
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+265
W 0-1 vs Derby County+110
L 1-0 vs Fulham+395
L 1-2 at Huddersfield+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+165+190+180+202+185+180+202+204.3
Cardiff City+165+155+148+160+152+148+160+167.7
Draw+220+205+210+221+217+210+221+235.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+185---+185+190+190+204.3
Cardiff City+155---+125+155+155+167.7
Draw+225---+200+220+220+235.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +204 to +198
Cardiff City ML moved from +145 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +210 to +190
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2-118o2-114o2-113-o2-114o2-113o2-104
Underu2¼+105u2-102u2-106u2-102-u2-106u2-102u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-109 to o2¼-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.85%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 412.75%
Exactly 62.50%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.46%
Exactly 321.03%
Exactly 56.18%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.23%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 026.63%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 310.28%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.54%
Exactly 220.51%
Exactly 42.15%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.68%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.04%
Exactly 130.63%
Exactly 27.81%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 054.19%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 210.17%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.12%
Wins by 3+ goals3.62%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals19.06%
Wins by 3+ goals6.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal18.81%
Wins by 2 goals8.50%
Wins by 3 goals2.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal22.59%
Wins by 2 goals12.27%
Wins by 3 goals4.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.15%8.85%
1.569.69%30.31%
2.543.68%56.32%
3.522.65%77.35%
4.59.90%90.10%
5.53.72%96.28%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.77%33.23%
1.530.16%69.84%
2.59.99%90.01%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.37%26.63%
1.538.14%61.86%
2.514.83%85.17%
3.54.54%95.46%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.46%32.54%
1.530.93%69.07%
2.510.42%89.58%
3.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
8.85%
11.71%
7.75%
3.42%
1.13%
0.30%
1
9.75%
12.90%
8.53%
3.76%
1.25%
0.33%
2
5.37%
7.11%
4.70%
2.07%
0.69%
0.18%
3
1.97%
2.61%
1.73%
0.76%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.54%
0.72%
0.48%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-09.75%
2-05.37%
2-17.11%
3-01.97%
3-12.61%
3-21.73%
4-00.54%
4-10.72%
4-20.48%
4-30.21%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-08.85%
1-112.90%
2-24.70%
3-30.76%
Cardiff City
0-111.71%
0-27.75%
1-28.53%
0-33.42%
1-33.76%
2-32.07%
0-41.13%
1-41.25%
2-40.69%
3-40.25%
0-50.30%
1-50.33%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
32.54%
19.93%
6.11%
1.25%
0.19%
1
16.60%
10.17%
3.11%
0.64%
0.10%
2
4.23%
2.59%
0.79%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.72%
0.44%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-016.60%
2-04.23%
2-12.59%
3-00.72%
3-10.44%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-032.54%
1-110.17%
2-20.79%
Cardiff City
0-119.93%
0-26.11%
1-23.11%
0-31.25%
1-30.64%
2-30.16%
0-40.19%
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