Derby County at Cardiff City

Updated

Derby County

19.8%23.5%56.7%
WinDrawCardiff City Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.75
0Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Luton Town+370
L 2-1 vs Millwall+185
W 0-1 vs Peterborough United-120
L 1-4 at Middlesbrough+540
W 1-3 vs Hull City+130
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Fulham+395
L 1-2 at Huddersfield+215
T 1-1 vs Blackpool-105
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+220
L 1-2 at Millwall+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+235+320+315+323+297+315+323+330.0
Cardiff City+116+100+110+112+102+110+112+117.6
Draw+235+210+200+213+220+200+220+224.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+310---+280+310+310+330.0
Cardiff City+100----115+110+110+117.6
Draw+225---+200+205+205+224.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +310 to +300
Cardiff City ML moved from +108 to +102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +300 to +280
Cardiff City ML moved from +185 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-105o2-106o2-105-o2-106o2-105o2+104
Underu2¼-108u2-115u2-114u2-110-u2-114u2-110u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.89%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 414.70%
Exactly 63.51%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.43%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.87%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 039.51%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 017.43%
Exactly 130.45%
Exactly 226.60%
Exactly 315.49%
Exactly 46.76%
Exactly 52.36%
Exactly 60.69%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.97%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 065.06%
Exactly 127.97%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 044.54%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.57%
Exactly 33.93%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.61%
Wins by 3+ goals1.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals31.81%
Wins by 3+ goals14.33%
Wins by 4+ goals5.28%
Wins by 5+ goals1.62%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Cardiff City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.19%
Wins by 2 goals4.93%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals17.48%
Wins by 3 goals9.04%
Wins by 4 goals3.67%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.11%6.89%
1.574.69%25.31%
2.550.04%49.96%
3.528.05%71.95%
4.513.35%86.65%
5.55.48%94.52%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.49%39.51%
1.523.80%76.20%
2.56.76%93.24%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.57%17.43%
1.552.12%47.88%
2.525.52%74.48%
3.510.03%89.97%
4.53.27%96.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.03%28.97%
1.535.13%64.87%
2.512.90%87.10%
3.53.72%96.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
6.89%
12.03%
10.51%
6.12%
2.67%
0.93%
1
6.39%
11.17%
9.76%
5.68%
2.48%
0.87%
2
2.97%
5.19%
4.53%
2.64%
1.15%
0.40%
3
0.92%
1.61%
1.40%
0.82%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.21%
0.37%
0.33%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Derby County
1-06.39%
2-02.97%
2-15.19%
3-00.92%
3-11.61%
3-21.40%
4-00.21%
4-10.37%
4-20.33%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.89%
1-111.17%
2-24.53%
3-30.82%
Cardiff City
0-112.03%
0-210.51%
1-29.76%
0-36.12%
1-35.68%
2-32.64%
0-42.67%
1-42.48%
2-41.15%
3-40.36%
0-50.93%
1-50.87%
2-50.40%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
28.97%
23.44%
9.48%
2.56%
0.52%
1
12.46%
10.08%
4.07%
1.10%
0.22%
2
2.68%
2.17%
0.88%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.38%
0.31%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-012.46%
2-02.68%
2-12.17%
3-00.38%
3-10.31%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.97%
1-110.08%
2-20.88%
Cardiff City
0-123.44%
0-29.48%
1-24.07%
0-32.56%
1-31.10%
2-30.24%
0-40.52%
1-40.22%
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