Hull City at Derby County

Updated

Hull City

28.2%24.5%47.3%
Hull City WinDrawDerby County Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.65
1Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Hull City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Preston North End+180
W 0-2 vs Swansea City+185
W 1-0 at Bournemouth+550
W 0-2 vs Blackburn+220
L 2-0 vs Stoke City+175
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-2 at Huddersfield+265
T 2-2 vs Birmingham City+140
L 1-2 at Nottingham Forest+355
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United+275
T 2-2 at Reading+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+235+240+260+264+225+260+264+270.7
Derby County+120+135+131+137+133+131+137+143.4
Draw+220+185+194+203+208+194+208+213.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+220---+210+240+240+270.7
Derby County+140---+115+130+130+143.4
Draw+210---+195+210+210+213.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hull City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hull City ML moved from +245 to +235
Derby County ML moved from +138 to +131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hull City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hull City ML moved from +250 to +240
Derby County ML moved from +135 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-105o2-107o2+100-o2-107o2+100o2+100
Underu2¼-108u2-115u2-113u2-115-u2-113u2-113u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.20%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 414.37%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.95%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.56%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Hull City
Exactly 037.43%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.07%
Exactly 35.92%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 019.24%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.36%
Exactly 45.91%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.58%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hull City
Exactly 063.44%
Exactly 128.87%
Exactly 26.57%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 046.62%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.57%
Exactly 33.45%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hull City
Wins by 2+ goals7.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals28.47%
Wins by 3+ goals12.21%
Wins by 4+ goals4.28%
Wins by 5+ goals1.24%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Hull City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hull City
Wins by 1 goal14.58%
Wins by 2 goals5.78%
Wins by 3 goals1.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals16.25%
Wins by 3 goals7.93%
Wins by 4 goals3.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.95%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.80%7.20%
1.573.85%26.15%
2.548.93%51.07%
3.527.07%72.93%
4.512.70%87.30%
5.55.13%94.87%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Hull City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.57%37.43%
1.525.79%74.21%
2.57.72%92.28%
3.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.76%19.24%
1.549.04%50.96%
2.522.91%77.09%
3.58.56%91.44%
4.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.42%29.58%
1.534.39%65.61%
2.512.45%87.55%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hull City
Derby County
Score012345
0
7.20%
11.87%
9.78%
5.37%
2.21%
0.73%
1
7.08%
11.66%
9.61%
5.28%
2.18%
0.72%
2
3.48%
5.73%
4.72%
2.59%
1.07%
0.35%
3
1.14%
1.88%
1.55%
0.85%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.28%
0.46%
0.38%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
Hull City
1-07.08%
2-03.48%
2-15.73%
3-01.14%
3-11.88%
3-21.55%
4-00.28%
4-10.46%
4-20.38%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-07.20%
1-111.66%
2-24.72%
3-30.85%
Derby County
0-111.87%
0-29.78%
1-29.61%
0-35.37%
1-35.28%
2-32.59%
0-42.21%
1-42.18%
2-41.07%
3-40.35%
0-50.73%
1-50.72%
2-50.35%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Hull City
Derby County
Score01234
0
29.58%
22.57%
8.61%
2.19%
0.42%
1
13.46%
10.27%
3.92%
1.00%
0.19%
2
3.06%
2.34%
0.89%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.46%
0.35%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Hull City
1-013.46%
2-03.06%
2-12.34%
3-00.46%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.58%
1-110.27%
2-20.89%
Derby County
0-122.57%
0-28.61%
1-23.92%
0-32.19%
1-31.00%
2-30.23%
0-40.42%
1-40.19%
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