Sheffield Utd at Derby County

Updated

Sheffield United

40.8%29.1%30.1%
Sheffield Utd WinDrawDerby County Win
1.23Projected Goals 0.91
0Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Sheffield United
Money Line
W 1-0 at Fulham+475
W 3-2 at Cardiff City+125
W 0-2 vs Bristol City-210
W 1-0 at Reading+105
T 0-0 vs Coventry City-105
Derby County
Money Line
T 2-2 at Reading+190
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
W 0-1 vs Blackpool+160
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Utd+120+110+114-+114+114+114+120.3
Derby County+220+260+235-+247+235+260+301.5
Draw+215+220+220-+229+220+229+236.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Utd+125---+105+110+110+120.3
Derby County+250---+230+275+275+301.5
Draw+210---+195+225+225+236.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sheffield Utd: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sheffield Utd ML moved from +119 to +113
Derby County ML moved from +235 to +215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sheffield Utd: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sheffield Utd ML moved from +125 to +115
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-148o2-136o2¼+108--o2¼+108o2-136o2¼+118
Underu2+122u2+113u2¼-128--u2¼-128u2¼-128u2¼-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+118
Under-----u2¼-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.2%
 
No57.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.80%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.26%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.21%
Exactly 319.20%
Exactly 54.39%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Sheffield United
Exactly 029.20%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 040.40%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.60%
Exactly 35.01%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.17%
Exactly 218.20%
Exactly 41.49%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sheffield United
Exactly 056.56%
Exactly 132.23%
Exactly 29.19%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 065.73%
Exactly 127.58%
Exactly 25.79%
Exactly 30.81%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sheffield United
Wins by 2+ goals19.36%
Wins by 3+ goals6.60%
Wins by 4+ goals1.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.30%
Wins by 3+ goals2.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Sheffield United
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sheffield United
Wins by 1 goal24.28%
Wins by 2 goals12.76%
Wins by 3 goals4.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.88%
Wins by 2 goals6.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.20%11.80%
1.562.99%37.01%
2.536.05%63.95%
3.516.85%83.15%
4.56.59%93.41%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Sheffield United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.80%29.20%
1.534.85%65.15%
2.512.73%87.27%
3.53.65%96.35%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.60%40.40%
1.522.99%77.01%
2.56.39%93.61%
3.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.83%37.17%
1.526.04%73.96%
2.57.84%92.16%
3.51.84%98.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sheffield Utd
Derby County
Score01234
0
11.80%
10.69%
4.85%
1.46%
0.33%
1
14.52%
13.16%
5.97%
1.80%
0.41%
2
8.94%
8.10%
3.67%
1.11%
0.25%
3
3.67%
3.32%
1.51%
0.46%
0.10%
4
1.13%
1.02%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.28%
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Sheffield United
1-014.52%
2-08.94%
2-18.10%
3-03.67%
3-13.32%
3-21.51%
4-01.13%
4-11.02%
4-20.46%
4-30.14%
5-00.28%
5-10.25%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-011.80%
1-113.16%
2-23.67%
3-30.46%
Derby County
0-110.69%
0-24.85%
1-25.97%
0-31.46%
1-31.80%
2-31.11%
0-40.33%
1-40.41%
2-40.25%
3-40.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Sheffield Utd
Derby County
Score0123
0
37.17%
15.60%
3.27%
0.46%
1
21.19%
8.89%
1.87%
0.26%
2
6.04%
2.53%
0.53%
0.07%
3
1.15%
0.48%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.16%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sheffield United
1-021.19%
2-06.04%
2-12.53%
3-01.15%
3-10.48%
3-20.10%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-037.17%
1-18.89%
2-20.53%
Derby County
0-115.60%
0-23.27%
1-21.87%
0-30.46%
1-30.26%
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