Derby County at Bristol City

Updated

Derby County

29.2%26.0%44.8%
Derby County WinDrawBristol City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.50
0Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+185
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415
T 1-1 at Millwall+325
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
Bristol City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+575
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+260
T 1-1 vs Blackburn+210
L 2-3 at Coventry City+525
L 0-3 at Birmingham City+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+185+190+185+204+185+185+204+209.3
Bristol City+150+155+159+164+151+159+164+171.3
Draw+215+210+220+214+222+220+222+224.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+200---+170+190+190+209.3
Bristol City+150---+145+155+155+171.3
Draw+215---+185+220+220+224.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +190 to +183
Bristol City ML moved from +175 to +164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +180 to +170
No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-138o2-132o2¼-101o2½+137-o2¼-101o2-140o2¼+110
Underu2+114u2+111u2¼-119u2½-152-u2¼-119u2½-142u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.17%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 037.62%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.98%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 022.35%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 312.53%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.59%
Exactly 128.79%
Exactly 26.52%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 049.97%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 212.03%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.71%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals24.83%
Wins by 3+ goals9.85%
Wins by 4+ goals3.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Bristol City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.90%
Wins by 2 goals6.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal24.37%
Wins by 2 goals14.98%
Wins by 3 goals6.71%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.78%29.22%
2.545.01%54.99%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.57%89.43%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.38%37.62%
1.525.60%74.40%
2.57.62%92.38%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.65%22.35%
1.544.17%55.83%
2.519.08%80.92%
3.56.54%93.46%
4.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Bristol City
Score012345
0
8.41%
12.60%
9.44%
4.71%
1.77%
0.53%
1
8.22%
12.32%
9.23%
4.61%
1.73%
0.52%
2
4.02%
6.02%
4.51%
2.25%
0.84%
0.25%
3
1.31%
1.96%
1.47%
0.73%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.32%
0.48%
0.36%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.22%
2-04.02%
2-16.02%
3-01.31%
3-11.96%
3-21.47%
4-00.32%
4-10.48%
4-20.36%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.32%
2-24.51%
3-30.73%
Bristol City
0-112.60%
0-29.44%
1-29.23%
0-34.71%
1-34.61%
2-32.25%
0-41.77%
1-41.73%
2-40.84%
3-40.28%
0-50.53%
1-50.52%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Bristol City
Score01234
0
31.78%
22.05%
7.65%
1.77%
0.31%
1
14.38%
9.98%
3.46%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.26%
2.26%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-014.38%
2-03.26%
2-12.26%
3-00.49%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-19.98%
2-20.78%
Bristol City
0-122.05%
0-27.65%
1-23.46%
0-31.77%
1-30.80%
2-30.18%
0-40.31%
1-40.14%