Derby County at Bristol City

Updated

Derby County

29.2%26.0%44.8%
Derby County WinDrawBristol City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.50
0Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+185
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415
T 1-1 at Millwall+325
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
Bristol City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+575
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+260
T 1-1 vs Blackburn+210
L 2-3 at Coventry City+525
L 0-3 at Birmingham City+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+185+190+185+204+185+185+204+209.3
Bristol City+150+155+159+164+151+159+164+171.3
Draw+215+210+220+214+222+220+222+224.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+200---+170+190+190+209.3
Bristol City+150---+145+155+155+171.3
Draw+215---+185+220+220+224.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +190 to +183
Bristol City ML moved from +175 to +164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +180 to +170
No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-138o2-132o2¼-101o2½+137-o2¼-101o2-140o2¼+110
Underu2+114u2+111u2¼-119u2½-152-u2¼-119u2½-142u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.17%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 037.62%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.98%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 022.35%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 312.53%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.59%
Exactly 128.79%
Exactly 26.52%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 049.97%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 212.03%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.71%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals24.83%
Wins by 3+ goals9.85%
Wins by 4+ goals3.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Bristol City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.90%
Wins by 2 goals6.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal24.37%
Wins by 2 goals14.98%
Wins by 3 goals6.71%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.78%29.22%
2.545.01%54.99%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.57%89.43%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.38%37.62%
1.525.60%74.40%
2.57.62%92.38%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.65%22.35%
1.544.17%55.83%
2.519.08%80.92%
3.56.54%93.46%
4.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Bristol City
Score012345
0
8.41%
12.60%
9.44%
4.71%
1.77%
0.53%
1
8.22%
12.32%
9.23%
4.61%
1.73%
0.52%
2
4.02%
6.02%
4.51%
2.25%
0.84%
0.25%
3
1.31%
1.96%
1.47%
0.73%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.32%
0.48%
0.36%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.22%
2-04.02%
2-16.02%
3-01.31%
3-11.96%
3-21.47%
4-00.32%
4-10.48%
4-20.36%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.32%
2-24.51%
3-30.73%
Bristol City
0-112.60%
0-29.44%
1-29.23%
0-34.71%
1-34.61%
2-32.25%
0-41.77%
1-41.73%
2-40.84%
3-40.28%
0-50.53%
1-50.52%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Bristol City
Score01234
0
31.78%
22.05%
7.65%
1.77%
0.31%
1
14.38%
9.98%
3.46%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.26%
2.26%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-014.38%
2-03.26%
2-12.26%
3-00.49%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-19.98%
2-20.78%
Bristol City
0-122.05%
0-27.65%
1-23.46%
0-31.77%
1-30.80%
2-30.18%
0-40.31%
1-40.14%
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