Derby County at Fulham

Updated

Derby County

11.7%11.2%77.1%
WinDrawFulham Win
0.41Projected Goals 2.66
0Final Score 0

Fulham

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415
T 1-1 at Millwall+325
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+170
T 1-1 at Coventry City+425
Fulham
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Barnsley-350
W 1-0 at Peterborough United-220
W 7-0 at Blackburn-125
W 0-3 vs West Bromwich Albion+105
W 4-0 at Nottingham Forest-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+725+800+845+836+713+845+845+868.2
Fulham-250-280-275-270-269-275-269-225.5
Draw+330+370+375+405+380+375+405+390.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+1000----+850+850+868.2
Fulham-350-----275-275-225.5
Draw+445----+375+375+390.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Fulham: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Fulham: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +762 to +713
Fulham ML moved from -330 to -340

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Fulham: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Fulham: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +950 to +850
Fulham ML moved from -325 to -350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-143o2¾+114o3+142-o2¾+114o2¾+114o2½-110
Underu2½+102u2½+118u2¾-134u3-157-u2¾-134u2½+118u2½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-110
Under-----u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes30.9%
 
No69.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.65%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 417.17%
Exactly 65.39%
Exactly 80.91%
 
Exactly 114.27%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.54%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 066.74%
Exactly 126.99%
Exactly 25.46%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Fulham
Exactly 06.97%
Exactly 118.56%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 414.62%
Exactly 57.79%
Exactly 63.46%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 80.44%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.16%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 311.54%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 082.92%
Exactly 115.53%
Exactly 21.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fulham
Exactly 029.13%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 222.16%
Exactly 39.11%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals0.57%
Fulham
Wins by 2+ goals64.69%
Wins by 3+ goals41.41%
Wins by 4+ goals22.36%
Wins by 5+ goals10.31%
Wins by 6+ goals4.10%
Wins by 7+ goals1.42%
Wins by 8+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Fulham
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal3.08%
Wins by 2 goals0.52%
Fulham
Wins by 1 goal20.37%
Wins by 2 goals23.28%
Wins by 3 goals19.05%
Wins by 4 goals12.06%
Wins by 5 goals6.20%
Wins by 6 goals2.69%
Wins by 7 goals1.00%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.35%4.65%
1.581.08%18.92%
2.559.19%40.81%
3.536.80%63.20%
4.519.63%80.37%
5.59.09%90.91%
6.53.71%96.29%
7.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.533.26%66.74%
1.56.27%93.73%

Total Goals Fulham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.03%6.97%
1.574.47%25.53%
2.549.74%50.26%
3.527.79%72.21%
4.513.17%86.83%
5.55.39%94.61%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.84%24.16%
1.541.52%58.48%
2.517.15%82.85%
3.55.61%94.39%
4.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Fulham
Score012345
0
4.65%
12.39%
16.50%
14.65%
9.76%
5.20%
1
1.88%
5.01%
6.67%
5.92%
3.95%
2.10%
2
0.38%
1.01%
1.35%
1.20%
0.80%
0.42%
Derby County
1-01.88%
2-00.38%
2-11.01%
Draw
0-04.65%
1-15.01%
2-21.35%
3-30.16%
Fulham
0-112.39%
0-216.50%
1-26.67%
0-314.65%
1-35.92%
2-31.20%
0-49.76%
1-43.95%
2-40.80%
3-40.11%
0-55.20%
1-52.10%
2-50.42%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Fulham
Score0123456
0
24.16%
29.79%
18.37%
7.55%
2.33%
0.57%
0.12%
1
4.52%
5.58%
3.44%
1.41%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
2
0.42%
0.52%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-04.52%
2-00.42%
2-10.52%
Draw
0-024.16%
1-15.58%
2-20.32%
Fulham
0-129.79%
0-218.37%
1-23.44%
0-37.55%
1-31.41%
2-30.13%
0-42.33%
1-40.44%
0-50.57%
1-50.11%
0-60.12%