Derby County at Coventry City

Updated

Derby County

26.3%25.4%48.3%
Derby County WinDrawCoventry City Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.57
1Final Score 1

Coventry City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Luton Town+200
T 0-0 at Preston North End+315
T 0-0 vs Swansea City+160
W 0-1 vs Reading+115
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+500
Coventry City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Preston North End+195
T 2-2 at Blackburn+180
W 1-4 vs Fulham+270
L 0-5 at Luton Town+160
W 0-3 vs Peterborough United-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+532+400+345+409+444+345+444+434.9
Coventry City-173-136-130-121-140-130-121-120.5
Draw+273+250+245+250+241+245+250+275.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+425---+300+425+425+434.9
Coventry City-140----130-140-130-120.5
Draw+260---+220+260+260+275.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Coventry City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 30.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +444 to +429
Coventry City ML moved from -133 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Coventry City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 30.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +380 to +350
Coventry City ML moved from -115 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+128o2¼-106o2¼+102-o2¼-106o2¼+102o2¼+101
Underu2½-125u2½-155u2¼-114u2¼-114-u2¼-114u2½-150u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+101
Under-----u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.84%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 412.76%
Exactly 62.50%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.44%
Exactly 321.03%
Exactly 56.19%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 042.50%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.56%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Coventry City
Exactly 020.80%
Exactly 132.66%
Exactly 225.64%
Exactly 313.42%
Exactly 45.27%
Exactly 51.65%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.52%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.68%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 067.29%
Exactly 126.66%
Exactly 25.28%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Coventry City
Exactly 048.34%
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 212.77%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.51%
Wins by 3+ goals1.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Coventry City
Wins by 2+ goals28.52%
Wins by 3+ goals11.85%
Wins by 4+ goals3.95%
Wins by 5+ goals1.04%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Coventry City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.92%
Wins by 2 goals4.95%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Coventry City
Wins by 1 goal25.54%
Wins by 2 goals16.68%
Wins by 3 goals7.90%
Wins by 4 goals2.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.86%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.16%8.84%
1.569.72%30.28%
2.543.71%56.29%
3.522.67%77.33%
4.59.92%90.08%
5.53.73%96.27%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.50%42.50%
1.521.14%78.86%
2.55.58%94.42%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Coventry City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.20%20.80%
1.546.54%53.46%
2.520.90%79.10%
3.57.48%92.52%
4.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.48%32.52%
1.530.95%69.05%
2.510.43%89.57%
3.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Coventry City
Score012345
0
8.84%
13.88%
10.90%
5.70%
2.24%
0.70%
1
7.56%
11.88%
9.33%
4.88%
1.92%
0.60%
2
3.24%
5.08%
3.99%
2.09%
0.82%
0.26%
3
0.92%
1.45%
1.14%
0.60%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.20%
0.31%
0.24%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.56%
2-03.24%
2-15.08%
3-00.92%
3-11.45%
3-21.14%
4-00.20%
4-10.31%
4-20.24%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-08.84%
1-111.88%
2-23.99%
3-30.60%
Coventry City
0-113.88%
0-210.90%
1-29.33%
0-35.70%
1-34.88%
2-32.09%
0-42.24%
1-41.92%
2-40.82%
3-40.23%
0-50.70%
1-50.60%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Coventry City
Score01234
0
32.52%
23.64%
8.59%
2.08%
0.38%
1
12.89%
9.37%
3.41%
0.83%
0.15%
2
2.55%
1.86%
0.67%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-012.89%
2-02.55%
2-11.86%
3-00.34%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-032.52%
1-19.37%
2-20.67%
Coventry City
0-123.64%
0-28.59%
1-23.41%
0-32.08%
1-30.83%
2-30.16%
0-40.38%
1-40.15%
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