Derby County at Preston

Updated

Derby County

25.9%24.4%49.7%
Derby County WinDrawPreston Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.65
0Final Score 0

Preston North End

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Swansea City+160
W 0-1 vs Reading+115
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+500
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+280
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+635
Preston North End
Money Line
L 2-3 at Queens Park Rangers+280
T 1-1 vs Stoke City+170
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+220
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+260
T 2-2 at Sheffield United+385

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+320+310+320+332+307+320+332+363.5
Preston-115-105-108+103+102-108+103+103.0
Draw+230+220+220+229+214+220+229+243.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+325---+290+315+315+363.5
Preston+100----115+105+105+103.0
Draw+215---+195+210+210+243.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +310 to +300
Preston ML moved from +101 to -106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +325 to +315
No Steam Moves On Preston ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-128o2-128o2¼+108o2¼+109-o2¼+108o2-128o2¼+114
Underu2+108u2+108u2¼-128u2¼-123-u2¼-128u2¼-123u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.08%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 413.49%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.32%
Exactly 321.44%
Exactly 56.79%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 042.26%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.67%
Exactly 34.50%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 019.11%
Exactly 131.63%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 314.43%
Exactly 45.97%
Exactly 51.98%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.19%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 067.11%
Exactly 126.76%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 046.48%
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 213.64%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.18%
Wins by 3+ goals1.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals30.67%
Wins by 3+ goals13.33%
Wins by 4+ goals4.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.39%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Preston North End
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.24%
Wins by 2 goals4.70%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal25.44%
Wins by 2 goals17.34%
Wins by 3 goals8.61%
Wins by 4 goals3.33%
Wins by 5 goals1.05%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.92%8.08%
1.571.60%28.40%
2.546.03%53.97%
3.524.59%75.41%
4.511.10%88.90%
5.54.31%95.69%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.74%42.26%
1.521.34%78.66%
2.55.66%94.34%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.89%19.11%
1.549.26%50.74%
2.523.09%76.91%
3.58.65%91.35%
4.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.81%31.19%
1.532.47%67.53%
2.511.30%88.70%
3.53.08%96.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Preston North End
Score012345
0
8.08%
13.37%
11.06%
6.10%
2.52%
0.84%
1
6.96%
11.51%
9.53%
5.25%
2.17%
0.72%
2
3.00%
4.96%
4.10%
2.26%
0.94%
0.31%
3
0.86%
1.42%
1.18%
0.65%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.19%
0.31%
0.25%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.96%
2-03.00%
2-14.96%
3-00.86%
3-11.42%
3-21.18%
4-00.19%
4-10.31%
4-20.25%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.08%
1-111.51%
2-24.10%
3-30.65%
Preston North End
0-113.37%
0-211.06%
1-29.53%
0-36.10%
1-35.25%
2-32.26%
0-42.52%
1-42.17%
2-40.94%
3-40.27%
0-50.84%
1-50.72%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Preston North End
Score01234
0
31.19%
23.90%
9.16%
2.34%
0.45%
1
12.44%
9.53%
3.65%
0.93%
0.18%
2
2.48%
1.90%
0.73%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.33%
0.25%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-012.44%
2-02.48%
2-11.90%
3-00.33%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-031.19%
1-19.53%
2-20.73%
Preston North End
0-123.90%
0-29.16%
1-23.65%
0-32.34%
1-30.93%
2-30.19%
0-40.45%
1-40.18%
QPR at Fulham
Bournemouth at Bristol City