Derby County at West Brom

Updated

Derby County

14.5%12.7%72.9%
WinDrawWest Brom Win
0.52Projected Goals 2.60
0Final Score 0

West Bromwich Albion

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 0-2 at Birmingham City+350
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+135
T 0-0 vs Middlesbrough+190
W 1-0 at Hull City+295
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+120
West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Millwall-170
W 1-0 at Peterborough United-145
W 2-1 at Blackburn+110
W 2-3 vs Luton Town-150
T 2-2 at Bournemouth+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+500+625+600+683+566+600+683-
West Brom-180-218-204-200-213-204-200-
Draw+305+335+325+321+336+325+336-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+575---+550+635+635-
West Brom-185----225-200-200-
Draw+295---+250+300+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +610 to +590
West Brom ML moved from -189 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +650 to +600
West Brom ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-115o2½-120o2½-111-o2½-120o2½-111-
Underu2½-115u2½-105u2½+100u2½-101-u2½+100u2½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.4%
 
No62.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.41%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 417.44%
Exactly 65.67%
Exactly 80.99%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.76%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.89%
Exactly 72.53%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 059.66%
Exactly 130.82%
Exactly 27.96%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 07.39%
Exactly 119.25%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 414.18%
Exactly 57.39%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.57%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 311.86%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 078.73%
Exactly 118.83%
Exactly 22.25%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 029.94%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals1.04%
Wins by 3+ goals0.15%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals60.89%
Wins by 3+ goals37.99%
Wins by 4+ goals19.99%
Wins by 5+ goals8.98%
Wins by 6+ goals3.49%
Wins by 7+ goals1.17%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal4.19%
Wins by 2 goals0.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.14%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal21.15%
Wins by 2 goals22.90%
Wins by 3 goals17.99%
Wins by 4 goals11.01%
Wins by 5 goals5.50%
Wins by 6 goals2.31%
Wins by 7 goals0.84%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.59%4.41%
1.581.83%18.17%
2.560.35%39.65%
3.538.00%62.00%
4.520.56%79.44%
5.59.67%90.33%
6.54.00%96.00%
7.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.34%59.66%
1.59.53%90.47%
2.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.61%7.39%
1.573.36%26.64%
2.548.28%51.72%
3.526.51%73.49%
4.512.33%87.67%
5.54.94%95.06%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.43%23.57%
1.542.37%57.63%
2.517.75%82.25%
3.55.90%94.10%
4.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score012345
0
4.41%
11.49%
14.96%
12.99%
8.46%
4.41%
1
2.28%
5.93%
7.73%
6.71%
4.37%
2.28%
2
0.59%
1.53%
2.00%
1.73%
1.13%
0.59%
3
0.10%
0.26%
0.34%
0.30%
0.19%
0.10%
Derby County
1-02.28%
2-00.59%
2-11.53%
3-00.10%
3-10.26%
3-20.34%
Draw
0-04.41%
1-15.93%
2-22.00%
3-30.30%
West Bromwich Albion
0-111.49%
0-214.96%
1-27.73%
0-312.99%
1-36.71%
2-31.73%
0-48.46%
1-44.37%
2-41.13%
3-40.19%
0-54.41%
1-52.28%
2-50.59%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score0123456
0
23.57%
28.43%
17.14%
6.89%
2.08%
0.50%
0.10%
1
5.64%
6.80%
4.10%
1.65%
0.50%
0.12%
0.02%
2
0.67%
0.81%
0.49%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-05.64%
2-00.67%
2-10.81%
Draw
0-023.57%
1-16.80%
2-20.49%
West Bromwich Albion
0-128.43%
0-217.14%
1-24.10%
0-36.89%
1-31.65%
2-30.20%
0-42.08%
1-40.50%
0-50.50%
1-50.12%
0-60.10%