Middlesbrough at Derby County

Updated

Middlesbrough

31.3%28.1%40.6%
Middlesbrough WinDrawDerby County Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.29
0Final Score 0

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+140
W 1-2 vs Bristol City+105
T 1-1 at Fulham+375
L 3-0 vs Wycombe Wanderers-130
T 1-1 at Luton Town+175
Derby County
Money Line
W 1-0 at Hull City+295
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+120
T 3-3 vs Sheffield Wednesday+135
L 1-2 at Swansea City+160
L 2-1 vs Birmingham City+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+125-+175+172+180+172+180-
Derby County+230-+175+184+162+184+184-
Draw+240-+205+205+212+205+212-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+160---+140+165+165-
Derby County+180---+160+190+190-
Draw+220---+205+200+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +154 to +145
Derby County ML moved from +185 to +179

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +165 to +155
Derby County ML moved from +210 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110-o2-115o2-113-o2-113o2-113-
Underu2½-130-u2-105u2-107-u2-107u2-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.52%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 037.04%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.27%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 027.62%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 222.86%
Exactly 39.81%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 063.14%
Exactly 129.03%
Exactly 26.68%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 055.11%
Exactly 132.84%
Exactly 29.78%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals10.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals19.58%
Wins by 3+ goals6.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal18.19%
Wins by 2 goals7.57%
Wins by 3 goals2.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.57%
Wins by 2 goals12.70%
Wins by 3 goals4.95%
Wins by 4 goals1.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.45%33.55%
2.539.86%60.14%
3.519.66%80.34%
4.58.14%91.86%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.96%37.04%
1.526.17%73.83%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.38%27.62%
1.536.85%63.15%
2.513.98%86.02%
3.54.18%95.82%
4.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.20%34.80%
1.528.47%71.53%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.23%
13.16%
8.47%
3.63%
1.17%
0.30%
1
10.16%
13.07%
8.41%
3.61%
1.16%
0.30%
2
5.04%
6.49%
4.18%
1.79%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.67%
2.15%
1.38%
0.59%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.41%
0.53%
0.34%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Middlesbrough
1-010.16%
2-05.04%
2-16.49%
3-01.67%
3-12.15%
3-21.38%
4-00.41%
4-10.53%
4-20.34%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.23%
1-113.07%
2-24.18%
3-30.59%
Derby County
0-113.16%
0-28.47%
1-28.41%
0-33.63%
1-33.61%
2-31.79%
0-41.17%
1-41.16%
2-40.58%
3-40.19%
0-50.30%
1-50.30%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score01234
0
34.80%
20.73%
6.18%
1.23%
0.18%
1
16.00%
9.53%
2.84%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.68%
2.19%
0.65%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.56%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-016.00%
2-03.68%
2-12.19%
3-00.56%
3-10.34%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.80%
1-19.53%
2-20.65%
Derby County
0-120.73%
0-26.18%
1-22.84%
0-31.23%
1-30.56%
2-30.13%
0-40.18%