Birmingham City at Derby County

Updated

Birmingham City

26.5%25.1%48.4%
Birmingham City WinDrawDerby County Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.60
2Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+165
W 1-0 at Rotherham United+160
W 0-2 vs Stoke City+180
T 0-0 at Brentford+525
W 0-1 vs Swansea City+220
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-3 at Preston North End+150
L 1-2 at Blackburn+240
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+475
L 1-3 at Reading+250
W 0-2 vs Luton Town+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+190+274+260+245+255+245+274-
Derby County+150+120+120+120+122+120+120-
Draw+225+202+205+197+206+197+206-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+215---+210+290+290-
Derby County+150---+120+115+120-
Draw+200---+185+205+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +213 to +202
Derby County ML moved from +128 to +119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML
Derby County ML moved from +135 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-101o2-105o2-105-o2-105o2-101-
Underu2+115u2-122u2-115u2-115-u2-115u2-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.45%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.13%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.88%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 56.49%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 041.73%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.94%
Exactly 34.64%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 020.25%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 313.75%
Exactly 45.49%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.85%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 066.72%
Exactly 127.00%
Exactly 25.46%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 047.74%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.05%
Exactly 33.22%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals6.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals29.00%
Wins by 3+ goals12.25%
Wins by 4+ goals4.21%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal13.89%
Wins by 2 goals5.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal25.38%
Wins by 2 goals16.75%
Wins by 3 goals8.04%
Wins by 4 goals3.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.55%8.45%
1.570.67%29.33%
2.544.87%55.13%
3.523.62%76.38%
4.510.50%89.50%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.27%41.73%
1.521.80%78.20%
2.55.86%94.14%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.75%20.25%
1.547.41%52.59%
2.521.59%78.41%
3.57.84%92.16%
4.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.15%31.85%
1.531.71%68.29%
2.510.86%89.14%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.45%
13.50%
10.78%
5.74%
2.29%
0.73%
1
7.38%
11.79%
9.42%
5.01%
2.00%
0.64%
2
3.23%
5.15%
4.12%
2.19%
0.87%
0.28%
3
0.94%
1.50%
1.20%
0.64%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.21%
0.33%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Birmingham City
1-07.38%
2-03.23%
2-15.15%
3-00.94%
3-11.50%
3-21.20%
4-00.21%
4-10.33%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.45%
1-111.79%
2-24.12%
3-30.64%
Derby County
0-113.50%
0-210.78%
1-29.42%
0-35.74%
1-35.01%
2-32.19%
0-42.29%
1-42.00%
2-40.87%
3-40.25%
0-50.73%
1-50.64%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Derby County
Score01234
0
31.85%
23.55%
8.71%
2.15%
0.40%
1
12.89%
9.53%
3.52%
0.87%
0.16%
2
2.61%
1.93%
0.71%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.35%
0.26%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-012.89%
2-02.61%
2-11.93%
3-00.35%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-031.85%
1-19.53%
2-20.71%
Derby County
0-123.55%
0-28.71%
1-23.52%
0-32.15%
1-30.87%
2-30.18%
0-40.40%
1-40.16%
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