Derby County at Preston

Updated

Derby County

31.9%27.8%40.3%
Derby County WinDrawPreston Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 3

Preston North End

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Blackburn+240
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+475
L 1-3 at Reading+250
W 0-2 vs Luton Town+125
L 0-1 at Stoke City+240
Preston North End
Money Line
T 0-0 at Stoke City+285
L 5-0 vs Brentford+325
W 1-0 at Swansea City+330
T 1-1 vs Norwich City+400
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+240+140+145+149+143+150+150-
Preston+114+217+195+170+200+192+217-
Draw+220+211+205+225+218+225+225-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+200---+145+150+150-
Preston+145---+170+210+210-
Draw+220---+185+205+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +155 to +140
Preston ML moved from +156 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Preston: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +160 to +145
No Steam Moves On Preston ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-123o2-125o2-122-o2-122o2-122-
Underu2+115u2+101u2+105u2+102-u2+102u2+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.70%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 411.98%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.63%
Exactly 320.53%
Exactly 55.59%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 035.72%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 027.15%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 310.03%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.95%
Exactly 219.81%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 062.08%
Exactly 129.59%
Exactly 27.05%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 054.68%
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 29.96%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals10.97%
Wins by 3+ goals3.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals19.51%
Wins by 3+ goals6.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Preston North End
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal18.36%
Wins by 2 goals7.86%
Wins by 3 goals2.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal23.25%
Wins by 2 goals12.61%
Wins by 3 goals4.96%
Wins by 4 goals1.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.30%9.70%
1.567.67%32.33%
2.541.28%58.72%
3.520.74%79.26%
4.58.77%91.23%
5.53.18%96.82%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.28%35.72%
1.527.51%72.49%
2.58.58%91.42%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.85%27.15%
1.537.45%62.55%
2.514.37%85.63%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.05%33.95%
1.529.37%70.63%
2.59.56%90.44%
3.52.43%97.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Preston North End
Score012345
0
9.70%
12.64%
8.24%
3.58%
1.17%
0.30%
1
9.99%
13.02%
8.48%
3.69%
1.20%
0.31%
2
5.14%
6.70%
4.37%
1.90%
0.62%
0.16%
3
1.76%
2.30%
1.50%
0.65%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.45%
0.59%
0.39%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Derby County
1-09.99%
2-05.14%
2-16.70%
3-01.76%
3-12.30%
3-21.50%
4-00.45%
4-10.59%
4-20.39%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.70%
1-113.02%
2-24.37%
3-30.65%
Preston North End
0-112.64%
0-28.24%
1-28.48%
0-33.58%
1-33.69%
2-31.90%
0-41.17%
1-41.20%
2-40.62%
3-40.21%
0-50.30%
1-50.31%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Preston North End
Score01234
0
33.95%
20.49%
6.18%
1.24%
0.19%
1
16.18%
9.77%
2.95%
0.59%
0.09%
2
3.86%
2.33%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.61%
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-016.18%
2-03.86%
2-12.33%
3-00.61%
3-10.37%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.95%
1-19.77%
2-20.70%
Preston North End
0-120.49%
0-26.18%
1-22.95%
0-31.24%
1-30.59%
2-30.14%
0-40.19%