Luton Town at Derby County

Updated

Luton Town

32.1%28.1%39.8%
Luton Town WinDrawDerby County Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.27
0Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-0 at Preston North End+205
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+225
L 1-0 vs Swansea City+250
L 0-3 at Norwich City+900
W 1-0 at Nottingham Forest+360
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Stoke City+240
T 2-2 vs Brentford+320
L 1-0 vs Millwall+165
T 0-0 at Barnsley+375
L 0-1 at Coventry City+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+280+253+265+232+253+232+265-
Derby County+105+123+120+125+121+125+125-
Draw+225+211+210+215+204+215+215-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+285---+250+250+250-
Derby County+110----105+125+125-
Draw+215---+200+210+210-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +262 to +253
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +275 to +250
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-127o2-125o2-129-o2-129o2-125-
Underu2+115u2+104u2+105u2+109-u2+109u2+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.03%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 411.69%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.07%
Exactly 320.33%
Exactly 55.37%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 035.84%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.87%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 027.99%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 062.18%
Exactly 129.54%
Exactly 27.02%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 055.46%
Exactly 132.70%
Exactly 29.64%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals11.14%
Wins by 3+ goals3.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals18.86%
Wins by 3+ goals6.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal18.65%
Wins by 2 goals7.99%
Wins by 3 goals2.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.15%
Wins by 2 goals12.31%
Wins by 3 goals4.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.97%10.03%
1.566.90%33.10%
2.540.38%59.62%
3.520.05%79.95%
4.58.37%91.63%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.16%35.84%
1.527.38%72.62%
2.58.52%91.48%
3.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.01%27.99%
1.536.37%63.63%
2.513.68%86.32%
3.54.05%95.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.52%34.48%
1.528.80%71.20%
2.59.26%90.74%
3.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.03%
12.77%
8.13%
3.45%
1.10%
0.28%
1
10.29%
13.11%
8.35%
3.54%
1.13%
0.29%
2
5.28%
6.72%
4.28%
1.82%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.81%
2.30%
1.46%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.46%
0.59%
0.38%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-010.29%
2-05.28%
2-16.72%
3-01.81%
3-12.30%
3-21.46%
4-00.46%
4-10.59%
4-20.38%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-010.03%
1-113.11%
2-24.28%
3-30.62%
Derby County
0-112.77%
0-28.13%
1-28.35%
0-33.45%
1-33.54%
2-31.82%
0-41.10%
1-41.13%
2-40.58%
3-40.20%
0-50.28%
1-50.29%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Derby County
Score01234
0
34.48%
20.33%
5.99%
1.18%
0.17%
1
16.38%
9.66%
2.85%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.89%
2.29%
0.68%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-016.38%
2-03.89%
2-12.29%
3-00.62%
3-10.36%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.48%
1-19.66%
2-20.68%
Derby County
0-120.33%
0-25.99%
1-22.85%
0-31.18%
1-30.56%
2-30.13%
0-40.17%
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