Reading at Derby County

Updated

Reading

33.1%28.1%38.8%
Reading WinDrawDerby County Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.25
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Reading
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+235
W 2-1 at Fulham+810
W 1-3 vs Peterborough United+115
T 3-3 vs Queens Park Rangers+190
L 0-4 at Huddersfield+240
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+500
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+280
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+635
L 0-2 at Birmingham City+350
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reading+195+235+255+262+235+255+262+272.6
Derby County+135+110+115+114+116+115+116+120.3
Draw+220+235+230+250+235+230+250+260.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reading+205---+235+245+245+272.6
Derby County+150---+100+115+115+120.3
Draw+210---+205+235+235+260.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reading: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reading: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reading: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reading ML moved from +239 to +233
Derby County ML moved from +120 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reading: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reading: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reading: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reading ML moved from +260 to +250
Derby County ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2½+102o2½-110o2½-103-o2½-110o2½+102o2½+103
Underu2½-143u2½-122u2½-110u2½-109-u2½-110u2½-109u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-143 to o2½+118
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.80%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 411.88%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.77%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.52%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 028.54%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.12%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 060.98%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 055.96%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.43%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Reading
Wins by 2+ goals12.09%
Wins by 3+ goals3.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals17.91%
Wins by 3+ goals6.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Reading
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Reading
Wins by 1 goal19.25%
Wins by 2 goals8.55%
Wins by 3 goals2.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.59%
Wins by 2 goals11.78%
Wins by 3 goals4.46%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.20%9.80%
1.567.43%32.57%
2.540.99%59.01%
3.520.52%79.48%
4.58.64%91.36%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.94%71.06%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.46%28.54%
1.535.67%64.33%
2.513.24%86.76%
3.53.86%96.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.88%34.12%
1.529.19%70.81%
2.59.46%90.54%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Reading
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.80%
12.29%
7.71%
3.22%
1.01%
0.25%
1
10.48%
13.14%
8.23%
3.44%
1.08%
0.27%
2
5.60%
7.02%
4.40%
1.84%
0.58%
0.14%
3
1.99%
2.50%
1.57%
0.65%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.53%
0.67%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Reading
1-010.48%
2-05.60%
2-17.02%
3-01.99%
3-12.50%
3-21.57%
4-00.53%
4-10.67%
4-20.42%
4-30.17%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.80%
1-113.14%
2-24.40%
3-30.65%
Derby County
0-112.29%
0-27.71%
1-28.23%
0-33.22%
1-33.44%
2-31.84%
0-41.01%
1-41.08%
2-40.58%
3-40.21%
0-50.25%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Reading
Derby County
Score01234
0
34.12%
19.81%
5.75%
1.11%
0.16%
1
16.88%
9.80%
2.84%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.18%
2.42%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.69%
0.40%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Reading
1-016.88%
2-04.18%
2-12.42%
3-00.69%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-034.12%
1-19.80%
2-20.70%
Derby County
0-119.81%
0-25.75%
1-22.84%
0-31.11%
1-30.55%
2-30.14%
0-40.16%
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