Swansea City at Birmingham City

Updated

Swansea City

39.4%28.4%32.2%
Swansea City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 2

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+270
W 0-3 vs Cardiff City+135
T 0-0 at Derby County+205
L 1-3 at Fulham+725
W 0-1 vs Huddersfield+135
Birmingham City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Huddersfield+225
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+500
L 3-0 vs Nottingham Forest+120
L 0-2 at Queens Park Rangers+250
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+214+195+187+209+196+187+209+211.3
Birmingham City+133+160+152+167+156+152+167+173.3
Draw+220+200+198+204+201+198+204+219.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+220---+190+190+190+211.3
Birmingham City+140---+125+165+165+173.3
Draw+210---+195+205+205+219.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +209 to +180
Birmingham City ML moved from +162 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +210 to +190
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+147o2-111o2-109-o2-111o2-109o2-102
Underu2½-140u2½-180u2-109u2-103-u2-109u2-103u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.39%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.38%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.52%
Exactly 320.11%
Exactly 55.16%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 028.77%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 036.10%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.74%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.05%
Exactly 219.26%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 056.17%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 29.34%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 062.39%
Exactly 129.43%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals18.31%
Wins by 3+ goals6.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals11.23%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.08%
Wins by 2 goals12.06%
Wins by 3 goals4.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal18.88%
Wins by 2 goals8.07%
Wins by 3 goals2.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.61%10.39%
1.566.09%33.91%
2.539.46%60.54%
3.519.35%80.65%
4.57.97%92.03%
5.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.23%28.77%
1.535.38%64.62%
2.513.06%86.94%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.90%36.10%
1.527.12%72.88%
2.58.38%91.62%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.95%35.05%
1.528.21%71.79%
2.58.94%91.06%
3.52.21%97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
10.39%
10.58%
5.39%
1.83%
0.47%
1
12.94%
13.18%
6.72%
2.28%
0.58%
2
8.06%
8.21%
4.18%
1.42%
0.36%
3
3.35%
3.41%
1.74%
0.59%
0.15%
4
1.04%
1.06%
0.54%
0.18%
0.05%
5
0.26%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-012.94%
2-08.06%
2-18.21%
3-03.35%
3-13.41%
3-21.74%
4-01.04%
4-11.06%
4-20.54%
4-30.18%
5-00.26%
5-10.26%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.39%
1-113.18%
2-24.18%
3-30.59%
Birmingham City
0-110.58%
0-25.39%
1-26.72%
0-31.83%
1-32.28%
2-31.42%
0-40.47%
1-40.58%
2-40.36%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
35.05%
16.53%
3.90%
0.61%
1
20.21%
9.54%
2.25%
0.35%
2
5.83%
2.75%
0.65%
0.10%
3
1.12%
0.53%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-020.21%
2-05.83%
2-12.75%
3-01.12%
3-10.53%
3-20.12%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-035.05%
1-19.54%
2-20.65%
Birmingham City
0-116.53%
0-23.90%
1-22.25%
0-30.61%
1-30.35%
2-30.10%
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