Stoke City at Millwall

Updated

Stoke City

31.1%28.0%40.9%
Stoke City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.30
1Final Score 2

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+175
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+245
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+260
T 1-1 at Preston North End+190
W 0-2 vs Hull City-130
Millwall
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sheffield United+360
L 2-0 vs Luton Town+150
W 1-0 at Barnsley+160
W 0-1 vs Bristol City-110
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+189+170+163+183+175+163+183+198.9
Millwall+148+175+167+185+162+167+185+185.5
Draw+222+205+205+209+217+205+217+217.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+190---+170+195+195+198.9
Millwall+165---+145+160+160+185.5
Draw+205---+185+205+205+217.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +175 to +165
Millwall ML moved from +163 to +157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2½+140o2-123o2¼+111-o2-123o2-123o2-115
Underu2+115u2½-170u2+103u2¼-125-u2+103u2¼-125u2+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-115
Under-----u2+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.58%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.22%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 037.27%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 027.23%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 063.32%
Exactly 128.94%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 054.76%
Exactly 132.98%
Exactly 29.93%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals10.23%
Wins by 3+ goals2.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals19.99%
Wins by 3+ goals7.09%
Wins by 4+ goals2.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal17.98%
Wins by 2 goals7.43%
Wins by 3 goals2.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal23.70%
Wins by 2 goals12.90%
Wins by 3 goals5.08%
Wins by 4 goals1.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.63%33.37%
2.540.07%59.93%
3.519.82%80.18%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.73%37.27%
1.525.95%74.05%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.77%27.23%
1.537.34%62.66%
2.514.31%85.69%
3.54.32%95.68%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.15%
13.20%
8.59%
3.72%
1.21%
0.31%
1
10.02%
13.03%
8.47%
3.67%
1.19%
0.31%
2
4.94%
6.43%
4.18%
1.81%
0.59%
0.15%
3
1.63%
2.12%
1.38%
0.60%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.40%
0.52%
0.34%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-010.02%
2-04.94%
2-16.43%
3-01.63%
3-12.12%
3-21.38%
4-00.40%
4-10.52%
4-20.34%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.15%
1-113.03%
2-24.18%
3-30.60%
Millwall
0-113.20%
0-28.59%
1-28.47%
0-33.72%
1-33.67%
2-31.81%
0-41.21%
1-41.19%
2-40.59%
3-40.19%
0-50.31%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Millwall
Score01234
0
34.67%
20.88%
6.29%
1.26%
0.19%
1
15.84%
9.54%
2.87%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.62%
2.18%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.55%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-015.84%
2-03.62%
2-12.18%
3-00.55%
3-10.33%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.67%
1-19.54%
2-20.66%
Millwall
0-120.88%
0-26.29%
1-22.87%
0-31.26%
1-30.58%
2-30.13%
0-40.19%
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