Blackburn at Derby County

Updated

Blackburn

32.9%27.5%39.6%
Blackburn WinDrawDerby County Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.30
2Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Blackburn
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Reading-145
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+245
T 2-2 vs Coventry City+165
L 1-2 at Blackpool+200
L 2-3 at Huddersfield+195
Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 at Coventry City+425
T 2-2 vs Luton Town+200
T 0-0 at Preston North End+315
T 0-0 vs Swansea City+160
W 0-1 vs Reading+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blackburn+165+175+184+189+171+184+189+201.6
Derby County+165+175+172+181+175+172+181+184.2
Draw+220+205+205+208+206+205+208+216.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blackburn+155---+150+175+175+201.6
Derby County+170---+150+170+170+184.2
Draw+245---+205+215+215+216.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blackburn ML moved from +174 to +167
Derby County ML moved from +184 to +176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Blackburn ML
Derby County ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2-125o2¼+112o2-123-o2¼+112o2-123o2-115
Underu2½-140u2+105u2¼-132u2+110-u2¼-132u2¼-132u2+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-115
Under-----u2+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.19%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.43%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.94%
Exactly 320.83%
Exactly 55.93%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Blackburn
Exactly 033.89%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 027.13%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.12%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Blackburn
Exactly 060.59%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 27.60%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 054.66%
Exactly 133.02%
Exactly 29.97%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Blackburn
Wins by 2+ goals11.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals18.88%
Wins by 3+ goals6.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Blackburn
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Blackburn
Wins by 1 goal18.83%
Wins by 2 goals8.40%
Wins by 3 goals2.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.70%
Wins by 2 goals12.22%
Wins by 3 goals4.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.81%9.19%
1.568.86%31.14%
2.542.68%57.32%
3.521.85%78.15%
4.59.42%90.58%
5.53.49%96.51%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Blackburn Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.11%33.89%
1.529.44%70.56%
2.59.60%90.40%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.87%27.13%
1.537.48%62.52%
2.514.39%85.61%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.88%33.12%
1.530.28%69.72%
2.510.06%89.94%
3.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Blackburn
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.19%
11.99%
7.82%
3.40%
1.11%
0.29%
1
9.95%
12.98%
8.47%
3.68%
1.20%
0.31%
2
5.38%
7.02%
4.58%
1.99%
0.65%
0.17%
3
1.94%
2.53%
1.65%
0.72%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.53%
0.69%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Blackburn
1-09.95%
2-05.38%
2-17.02%
3-01.94%
3-12.53%
3-21.65%
4-00.53%
4-10.69%
4-20.45%
4-30.19%
5-00.11%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.19%
1-112.98%
2-24.58%
3-30.72%
Derby County
0-111.99%
0-27.82%
1-28.47%
0-33.40%
1-33.68%
2-31.99%
0-41.11%
1-41.20%
2-40.65%
3-40.23%
0-50.29%
1-50.31%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Blackburn
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.12%
20.01%
6.04%
1.22%
0.18%
1
16.59%
10.02%
3.03%
0.61%
0.09%
2
4.16%
2.51%
0.76%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.69%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Blackburn
1-016.59%
2-04.16%
2-12.51%
3-00.69%
3-10.42%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.12%
1-110.02%
2-20.76%
Derby County
0-120.01%
0-26.04%
1-23.03%
0-31.22%
1-30.61%
2-30.15%
0-40.18%