Blackburn at Derby County

Updated

Blackburn

32.9%27.5%39.6%
Blackburn WinDrawDerby County Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.30
2Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Blackburn
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Reading-145
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+245
T 2-2 vs Coventry City+165
L 1-2 at Blackpool+200
L 2-3 at Huddersfield+195
Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 at Coventry City+425
T 2-2 vs Luton Town+200
T 0-0 at Preston North End+315
T 0-0 vs Swansea City+160
W 0-1 vs Reading+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blackburn+165+175+184+189+171+184+189+201.6
Derby County+165+175+172+181+175+172+181+184.2
Draw+220+205+205+208+206+205+208+216.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blackburn+155---+150+175+175+201.6
Derby County+170---+150+170+170+184.2
Draw+245---+205+215+215+216.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blackburn: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blackburn ML moved from +174 to +167
Derby County ML moved from +184 to +176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blackburn: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blackburn: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Blackburn ML
Derby County ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2-125o2¼+112o2-123-o2¼+112o2-123o2-115
Underu2½-140u2+105u2¼-132u2+110-u2¼-132u2¼-132u2+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-115
Under-----u2+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.19%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.43%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.94%
Exactly 320.83%
Exactly 55.93%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Blackburn
Exactly 033.89%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 027.13%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.12%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Blackburn
Exactly 060.59%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 27.60%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 054.66%
Exactly 133.02%
Exactly 29.97%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Blackburn
Wins by 2+ goals11.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals18.88%
Wins by 3+ goals6.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Blackburn
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Blackburn
Wins by 1 goal18.83%
Wins by 2 goals8.40%
Wins by 3 goals2.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.70%
Wins by 2 goals12.22%
Wins by 3 goals4.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.81%9.19%
1.568.86%31.14%
2.542.68%57.32%
3.521.85%78.15%
4.59.42%90.58%
5.53.49%96.51%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Blackburn Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.11%33.89%
1.529.44%70.56%
2.59.60%90.40%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.87%27.13%
1.537.48%62.52%
2.514.39%85.61%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.88%33.12%
1.530.28%69.72%
2.510.06%89.94%
3.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Blackburn
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.19%
11.99%
7.82%
3.40%
1.11%
0.29%
1
9.95%
12.98%
8.47%
3.68%
1.20%
0.31%
2
5.38%
7.02%
4.58%
1.99%
0.65%
0.17%
3
1.94%
2.53%
1.65%
0.72%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.53%
0.69%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Blackburn
1-09.95%
2-05.38%
2-17.02%
3-01.94%
3-12.53%
3-21.65%
4-00.53%
4-10.69%
4-20.45%
4-30.19%
5-00.11%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.19%
1-112.98%
2-24.58%
3-30.72%
Derby County
0-111.99%
0-27.82%
1-28.47%
0-33.40%
1-33.68%
2-31.99%
0-41.11%
1-41.20%
2-40.65%
3-40.23%
0-50.29%
1-50.31%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Blackburn
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.12%
20.01%
6.04%
1.22%
0.18%
1
16.59%
10.02%
3.03%
0.61%
0.09%
2
4.16%
2.51%
0.76%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.69%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Blackburn
1-016.59%
2-04.16%
2-12.51%
3-00.69%
3-10.42%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.12%
1-110.02%
2-20.76%
Derby County
0-120.01%
0-26.04%
1-23.03%
0-31.22%
1-30.61%
2-30.15%
0-40.18%
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