Bournemouth at Derby County

Updated

Bournemouth

51.7%23.5%24.9%
Bournemouth WinDrawDerby County Win
1.73Projected Goals 0.84
2Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Bournemouth
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Swansea City-125
L 2-1 vs Preston North End-140
W 2-0 at Reading-150
W 0-3 vs Huddersfield-160
W 1-0 at Stoke City+175
Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 at Millwall+325
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+170
T 1-1 at Coventry City+425
T 2-2 vs Luton Town+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth-130-125-123-115-123-123-115-114.7
Derby County+370+390+380+390+365+380+390+420.6
Draw+250+245+245+246+241+245+246+265.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth-135----150-135-135-114.7
Derby County+410---+380+415+415+420.6
Draw+255---+210+255+255+265.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from -127 to -135
Derby County ML moved from +375 to +360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from -140 to -150
Derby County ML moved from +350 to +330

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-148o2-125o2-128o2-131-o2-128o2-125o2¼+114
Underu2+122u2+105u2+108u2+116-u2+108u2+116u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-148 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.63%
Exactly 225.26%
Exactly 413.93%
Exactly 63.07%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.64%
Exactly 321.66%
Exactly 57.17%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 017.61%
Exactly 130.59%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 315.37%
Exactly 46.67%
Exactly 52.32%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 043.34%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.15%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.39%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 044.75%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.46%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 067.90%
Exactly 126.28%
Exactly 25.09%
Exactly 30.66%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals33.19%
Wins by 3+ goals15.00%
Wins by 4+ goals5.54%
Wins by 5+ goals1.70%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Bournemouth
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal25.51%
Wins by 2 goals18.20%
Wins by 3 goals9.46%
Wins by 4 goals3.84%
Wins by 5 goals1.27%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal12.28%
Wins by 2 goals4.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.37%7.63%
1.572.73%27.27%
2.547.46%52.54%
3.525.80%74.20%
4.511.87%88.13%
5.54.70%95.30%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.39%17.61%
1.551.80%48.20%
2.525.24%74.76%
3.59.87%90.13%
4.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.66%43.34%
1.520.42%79.58%
2.55.27%94.73%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.61%30.39%
1.533.41%66.59%
2.511.86%88.14%
3.53.30%96.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bournemouth
Derby County
Score01234
0
7.63%
6.38%
2.67%
0.74%
0.16%
1
13.26%
11.08%
4.63%
1.29%
0.27%
2
11.51%
9.62%
4.02%
1.12%
0.23%
3
6.66%
5.57%
2.33%
0.65%
0.14%
4
2.89%
2.42%
1.01%
0.28%
0.06%
5
1.00%
0.84%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
Bournemouth
1-013.26%
2-011.51%
2-19.62%
3-06.66%
3-15.57%
3-22.33%
4-02.89%
4-12.42%
4-21.01%
4-30.28%
5-01.00%
5-10.84%
5-20.35%
Draw
0-07.63%
1-111.08%
2-24.02%
3-30.65%
Derby County
0-16.38%
0-22.67%
1-24.63%
0-30.74%
1-31.29%
2-31.12%
0-40.16%
1-40.27%
2-40.23%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Bournemouth
Derby County
Score0123
0
30.39%
11.76%
2.28%
0.29%
1
24.43%
9.46%
1.83%
0.24%
2
9.82%
3.80%
0.74%
0.09%
3
2.63%
1.02%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.53%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
Bournemouth
1-024.43%
2-09.82%
2-13.80%
3-02.63%
3-11.02%
3-20.20%
4-00.53%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-030.39%
1-19.46%
2-20.74%
Derby County
0-111.76%
0-22.28%
1-21.83%
0-30.29%
1-30.24%