Derby County at Millwall

Updated

Derby County

25.4%24.8%49.8%
Derby County WinDrawMillwall Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+170
T 1-1 at Coventry City+425
T 2-2 vs Luton Town+200
T 0-0 at Preston North End+315
Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Reading-125
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+200
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+160
W 2-1 at Sheffield United+360
L 2-0 vs Luton Town+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+425+320+320+351+340+320+351+364.2
Millwall-136+105+102+102-101+102+105+107.9
Draw+241+205+200+220+203+200+220+229.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+390---+300+325+325+364.2
Millwall-120----120+105+105+107.9
Draw+230---+200+205+205+229.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +317 to +311
Millwall ML moved from +104 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +315 to +300
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-105o2-109o2-102-o2-109o2-102o2+104
Underu2½-143u2-115u2-111u2-110-u2-111u2-110u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-143 to u2+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.75%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 412.84%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.32%
Exactly 321.08%
Exactly 56.25%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 043.92%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.87%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 019.93%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.94%
Exactly 45.62%
Exactly 51.81%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.37%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 42.18%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 068.32%
Exactly 126.03%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 047.39%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.21%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.87%
Wins by 3+ goals1.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals30.27%
Wins by 3+ goals12.94%
Wins by 4+ goals4.49%
Wins by 5+ goals1.29%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.16%
Wins by 2 goals4.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal25.80%
Wins by 2 goals17.34%
Wins by 3 goals8.44%
Wins by 4 goals3.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.25%8.75%
1.569.93%30.07%
2.543.96%56.04%
3.522.88%77.12%
4.510.04%89.96%
5.53.79%96.21%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.08%43.92%
1.519.95%80.05%
2.55.08%94.92%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.07%19.93%
1.547.93%52.07%
2.522.00%78.00%
3.58.06%91.94%
4.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.63%32.37%
1.531.11%68.89%
2.510.53%89.47%
3.52.78%97.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Millwall
Score012345
0
8.75%
14.12%
11.39%
6.12%
2.47%
0.80%
1
7.20%
11.62%
9.37%
5.04%
2.03%
0.66%
2
2.96%
4.78%
3.85%
2.07%
0.84%
0.27%
3
0.81%
1.31%
1.06%
0.57%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.17%
0.27%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.20%
2-02.96%
2-14.78%
3-00.81%
3-11.31%
3-21.06%
4-00.17%
4-10.27%
4-20.22%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.75%
1-111.62%
2-23.85%
3-30.57%
Millwall
0-114.12%
0-211.39%
1-29.37%
0-36.12%
1-35.04%
2-32.07%
0-42.47%
1-42.03%
2-40.84%
3-40.23%
0-50.80%
1-50.66%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Millwall
Score01234
0
32.37%
24.18%
9.03%
2.25%
0.42%
1
12.33%
9.21%
3.44%
0.86%
0.16%
2
2.35%
1.75%
0.66%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-012.33%
2-02.35%
2-11.75%
3-00.30%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-032.37%
1-19.21%
2-20.66%
Millwall
0-124.18%
0-29.03%
1-23.44%
0-32.25%
1-30.86%
2-30.16%
0-40.42%
1-40.16%
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