Derby County at Millwall

Updated

Derby County

25.4%24.8%49.8%
Derby County WinDrawMillwall Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+170
T 1-1 at Coventry City+425
T 2-2 vs Luton Town+200
T 0-0 at Preston North End+315
Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Reading-125
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+200
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+160
W 2-1 at Sheffield United+360
L 2-0 vs Luton Town+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+425+320+320+351+340+320+351+364.2
Millwall-136+105+102+102-101+102+105+107.9
Draw+241+205+200+220+203+200+220+229.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+390---+300+325+325+364.2
Millwall-120----120+105+105+107.9
Draw+230---+200+205+205+229.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +317 to +311
Millwall ML moved from +104 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +315 to +300
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-105o2-109o2-102-o2-109o2-102o2+104
Underu2½-143u2-115u2-111u2-110-u2-111u2-110u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-143 to u2+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.75%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 412.84%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.32%
Exactly 321.08%
Exactly 56.25%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 043.92%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.87%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 019.93%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.94%
Exactly 45.62%
Exactly 51.81%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.37%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 42.18%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 068.32%
Exactly 126.03%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 047.39%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.21%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.87%
Wins by 3+ goals1.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals30.27%
Wins by 3+ goals12.94%
Wins by 4+ goals4.49%
Wins by 5+ goals1.29%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.16%
Wins by 2 goals4.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal25.80%
Wins by 2 goals17.34%
Wins by 3 goals8.44%
Wins by 4 goals3.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.25%8.75%
1.569.93%30.07%
2.543.96%56.04%
3.522.88%77.12%
4.510.04%89.96%
5.53.79%96.21%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.08%43.92%
1.519.95%80.05%
2.55.08%94.92%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.07%19.93%
1.547.93%52.07%
2.522.00%78.00%
3.58.06%91.94%
4.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.63%32.37%
1.531.11%68.89%
2.510.53%89.47%
3.52.78%97.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Millwall
Score012345
0
8.75%
14.12%
11.39%
6.12%
2.47%
0.80%
1
7.20%
11.62%
9.37%
5.04%
2.03%
0.66%
2
2.96%
4.78%
3.85%
2.07%
0.84%
0.27%
3
0.81%
1.31%
1.06%
0.57%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.17%
0.27%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.20%
2-02.96%
2-14.78%
3-00.81%
3-11.31%
3-21.06%
4-00.17%
4-10.27%
4-20.22%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.75%
1-111.62%
2-23.85%
3-30.57%
Millwall
0-114.12%
0-211.39%
1-29.37%
0-36.12%
1-35.04%
2-32.07%
0-42.47%
1-42.03%
2-40.84%
3-40.23%
0-50.80%
1-50.66%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Millwall
Score01234
0
32.37%
24.18%
9.03%
2.25%
0.42%
1
12.33%
9.21%
3.44%
0.86%
0.16%
2
2.35%
1.75%
0.66%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-012.33%
2-02.35%
2-11.75%
3-00.30%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-032.37%
1-19.21%
2-20.66%
Millwall
0-124.18%
0-29.03%
1-23.44%
0-32.25%
1-30.86%
2-30.16%
0-40.42%
1-40.16%